A Stormy Setup Develops

Good Monday, everybody. Steamy temps and record highs are about to give way to a stormy setup across the Commonwealth. This will bring rounds of showers and storms our way this week, with that pattern likely sticking around a while.

As we begin the week, it’s the temps continuing to steal the show. Highs today range from the upper 80s to low 90s, perhaps breaking records in some areas. You will also notice an increase in humidity levels, making it feel a little hotter than it is.

A few storms may also develop today, mainly in the north…

The storm threat will increase starting Tuesday and will take us through the rest of the week. The Hi Res NAM has a pretty good line of storms dropping in here late Tuesday…

A front stalls across the Ohio Valley, with moisture streaming in from the Gulf of Mexico. Remember the potential early season tropical the development I’ve been talking about the past week or so? Well, well, well…

The European Model brings that system toward the Florida Panhandle by late Tuesday, with a steam of moisture into our region…

Can that become a classified system? That’s certainly a possibility. From there, the European takes the low into eastern Kentucky later this week..

Some heavy rains are likely in that type a setup.

It’s a setup that should continue through next week, too. The rainfall forecast through then shows a very active pattern, with the tropical connection…

That overall precipitation pattern matches up well with the long range European that goes toward the end of June. Check out the expansive area of above normal rains…

That’s going to be pretty hard to get any kind of sustained heat with that much water falling and in the ground.

Here are your radars to track any storm that pops today…

Make it a good one and take care.

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6 Responses to A Stormy Setup Develops

  1. Schroeder says:

    Thanks Chris for the update. The heat and humidity has not been that bad, but the drying from the southwest winds is beginning to cause some issues for some non irrigated crops in my county. Looks like the best chance of showers and thunderstorms is going to be in the eastern part of the state. I notice on the water vapor ( twelve hour loop ) a warm front is to our north with a back door cold front now moving into the northeastern part of the country and at the same time a tropical system is moving north-northwest from the southeast Atlantic. Very interesting. Have a great day everyone.

    • Jamie says:

      At my vegetable garden in Central KY, soil moisture is still in good shape a couple of inches down, but the surface is very dry. Not good for new plants trying to take root, so we’ve been watering. Tough decision though because we may end up getting more water than we need over the next 2 weeks – or we may get hardly any at all… That’s the nature of the summer pattern.

  2. Virgil says:

    Well I guess its that time of year for people to be screaming about Drought even though we have had one of the wettest springs on record. Chris was right in predicting this would happen.

  3. Matt says:

    We could use a little rain, but nothing is worse than a stagnant humid pattern with storms everyday.. Those of us that work outdoors can’t get anything done.

  4. which way is the wind blowing says:

    It is hot!!!!

  5. Jeff Hamlin says:

    At various spots on my way into work in Lexington today from Richmond, my car thermometer hit 94. Nice July weather. 😉

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