More Storms Kick Off The Week

Good Monday, everyone. Our broken record of a forecast continues as more storms rumble across the state to start the week. While we track storms to start the week, it’s the Memorial Day Weekend everyone is interested in. As of now, things look active with the potential for a tropical system to throw a little juice our way.

Out there today, showers and storms come at us in clusters. This still does not look like a big severe weather maker, but the threat for strong to locally severe storms is with us. Here’s the latest Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

Additional showers and storms will be around on Tuesday, with locally heavy rains the main threat. Local high water issues ma be noted at anytime today through Tuesday.

We may actually catch a break in the storms by the middle of the week!!

The storm threat increases again as we head into Memorial Day weekend. This is also when something tropical may get going down in the gulf of Mexico. Whatever happens with that system could impact our weather for the big weekend and into next week.

The Canadian Model has a developing storm that heads toward the central Gulf Coast states, then actually takes a ride into Kentucky. It does so by swinging a deepening trough into our region, picking up whatever is down there…

The European Model has the tropical system missing the trough, leaving the system to meander around for days…

The Icon Model looks to be taking a similar route…

The GFS really doesn’t know what to do with anything and has no system…

There is some serious convective feedback going on with that model. Wow.

Let’s get back to the storms showing up out there today. Here are your storm tracking tools…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a great Monday and take care.

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12 Responses to More Storms Kick Off The Week

  1. Farmer 43 says:

    5to6 days of rain chances and I’ve got nothing hope it’s not a sign I live in Breckinridge co make my living in dirt it’s been a really strange weather year so far I thought we were supposed to have early start to spring went from snow April 16 to 90 may 16 severe weather season so far has been non existent as far as rain I’ll believe it when I see it frustrating

    • Stormtracker_WV says:

      Hey Farmer 43, would love to know what you grow? I know tomatoes seem to love the weird weather around here (especially when it gets hot & humid–so long as it doesn’t flood they seem to do great); other than that, I don’t know how anyone grows anything in these parts with these wild weather swings 🙁

  2. Schroeder says:

    Thanks Chris for the update. Yesterdays warm sunshine lead to a few weakening showers. Seems like the best rains are to our west along the Mississippi River and moving due north. My question, is there a weather system called the Ohio Valley high pressure system ? The tropical weather systems of late may be the cause by robbing moisture from the potential rain makers in our area of the country ? It’s been a complicated situation for weather forecasters this spring, and I’m hoping for a more normal weather pattern to emerge soon. Have a great day everyone.

  3. Mike S says:

    Spring…what Spring?
    March and early April dominated by snow and cold…more snow in Louisville and Lexington during this Spring than Fairbanks, Alaska.
    May has been nothing short of amazing in terms of temperatures. So far, the average temperature of 74.7 degrees for the month of May in Louisville is comparable to where we should be at on June 22!
    What is so crazy about this Spring is that it will likely go down as an above normal Spring for temperatures despite a top ten season for snowfall, but a record warm month of May (as of today, we are 1.6 degrees above the all-time record May).

  4. Virgil says:

    It seems weather models this time of year simply can’t handle the amount of warmth and moisture out there. It also seems that the SPC seems to do quite a bit of waffling when it comes to their Severe Thunderstorm Outlooks from one day to the next.

    • Terry says:

      SPC didn’t seem to waffle as much in the past. It really is a shame that we are nearing 2020 and the weather models seem less accurate mid and long range than they were in 2000! I think too much data coupled with ever increasing new models and tools can also be a problem in weather forecasting….thoughts?

      • Schroeder says:

        Terry, I know what you mean about the Storm Prediction Center not being as accurate in the short range and the long range. Back in the 1950’s I tuned in to any forecast that was on the two TV channels we had at that time. Most of the time the weather casters were right on the two day forecast. But were not on any five day forecast. Many severe thunderstorms were a surprise, and we usually received more snowfall than was predicted.

  5. BubbaG says:

    Hopefully not jinxing us, but so far, this most be the wimpiest spring I can recall for storms overall. Seems the cold air had it’s play time and now the warm air is moving in without the big fuss expected. Again- So far.

    • Jeff Hamlin says:

      I completely agree.

    • Shawon says:

      Generally, there hasn’t been much severe weather around here in 6 years now.

      • Terry says:

        Nothing at least compared to the late winter tornado outbreak of 2012…I have not seen a torcon of 10 since in Eastern KY or any where that I can recall. Values of 8 or 9 are pretty rare but we had a 10 the evening of the tornadoes, including the infamous West Liberty one!

      • TennMark says:

        Overall, yes. Sadly, there was the fatal EF2 tornado last February in Logan County KY along with a few EF0s and EF1s elsewhere that day.

        IIRC, even many of these storms later fizzled.

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