Good Saturday, everyone. We have scattered showers and storms rolling across Kentucky today, all part of a steamy and, sometimes, stormy Memorial Day Weekend. Something else that’s part of the Memorial Day Weekend is Tropical/Subtropical Storm Alberto. That system is down in the Gulf and has a good chance to impact our weather early next week.

Let’s start with today and roll forward. Today’s storms may put down some torrential rains, leading to local high water issues. The same can be said for Sunday, but the storms on Memorial Day may not have the same coverage as today and Sunday.

Temps outside of storms will be VERY toasty, with humidity levels off the charts. Basically, it’s a tropical feeling holiday weekend in the bluegrass state.

Each of the past 2 years, the remnant low from a tropical system moved directly across Kentucky. Can we make it 3 in a row with Tropical Storm Alberto? That’s a real possibility as we head into the first half of next week. This storm is down in the Gulf of Mexico and heading toward the central Gulf for a Memorial Day landfall.

If you go back and read my posts from early May, I pointed out the increased activity around Florida was likely a signal on where early season tropical development would happen. Hello, Alberto! 🙂

Here’s the latest on the storm from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

You can see how the NHC track brings that system into the bluegrass state and matches all available guidance. Check out the spaghetti plots from the hurricane models…

The European Model continues to show the leftovers of Alberto moving right on top of us by Wednesday…

The model then follows that up with another system diving in from the west, bringing additional showers and storms…

Those two together bring a lot of rain to the region. Check out the European Model rain totals through next week…

The GFS is now very similar looking with Alberto and the system following it…

The Canadian has been ahead of all the other models with the track of Alberto and continues to bring it right on top of Kentucky…

The ICON model looks similar…

Beyond all this, there is an increasing signal for trough to finally move back into the eastern part of the country. That could cool us down in early June.

Here are your Saturday tracking tools…

I may throw you guys another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.