Storms Slowly Creep Back In

Good Sunday and welcome to July! It’s hard to believe we are this deep into summer, but here we are rolling into our 7th month of the year. The month is starting off in typical fashion with steamy temps and scattered storms rumbling back into the picture.

Temps today will be back into the upper 80s and low 90s for highs, with a heat index making it feel much hotter. The atmosphere has more moisture to work with today, leading to a few showers and thunderstorms going up. This is from a decent plume of juice extending from the Gulf into our neck of the woods…

Monday should feature a little better coverage of showers and storms, and that should shave a few degrees off your back porch thermometer. Locally heavy rains are a good bet with the storms going up over the next few days. You can see this on the GFS rainfall forecast through early Tuesday…

As I have mentioned many times over the past few months, this is a summer with no shortage of thunderstorms and rainfall. That’s certainly been the case to date, and appears to be locked and loaded for the rest of the summer. Case in point is the 2 week rain forecast from the GFS…

These rounds of storms will also come with temps averaging above normal. Here’s the CFS temperature anomaly for the first 10 days of July…

You can clearly see the core of heat is to our north and northeast, just as it is right now.

For some time, several of the weekly/monthly models have been forecasting a shift to much cooler for the middle and later parts of July. The same CFS run shows this taking hold from July 10-20…

That’s one heck of a temperature reversal, but I still think the models are rushing that just a little bit. I fully expect the second half of summer to turn much cooler in our region, likely leading us into a chilly fall that can start another season earlier than normal. Wait… Did I just throw a hint out there? Hmmm… It sure looks like one. πŸ˜‰

Have a great Sunday and take care.


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11 Responses to Storms Slowly Creep Back In

  1. Jeff Hamlin says:

    I don’t think it will be much cooler.

  2. Prelude says:

    The CFS shows cooler air taken over but at the same time the if you look at the CPS map it shows the Ohio Valley in the 50% to 60% range for above average temperatures for the whole month of July. http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead14/index.php

  3. Schroeder says:

    Scattered showers in some areas will only add to the our already miserable existence. One can only hope for a cooler drier Autumn, but where we live here in the Ohio Valley we know that’s not going to happen.

  4. Terry says:

    Our three day dry streak just ended in Harlan with a morning shower….here goes to more rain.

  5. Allen Roberts says:

    Chris, wanted to thank you for all your work on the blog. I haven’t checked a weather forecast anywhere but with you in the past 2 years. I appreciate all the effort you put in here for all of us readers.

  6. Coffeelady says:

    Chris. Maybe dial back the humidity but doggone it man, it’s summer! Don’t give us an early fall! Dire straits can have their MTV, I want my Summer please! ( I know , but it rhymed somewhat) πŸ˜‰ Have s great Sunday all. Thanks Chris for all you do!

  7. Prelude says:

    Noon temperature in Louisville is 90 dewpoint 77 heat index 103! smh

    • Andy Rose says:

      It is now in my back yard temp of 88 Dew point of 74 heat index of 98. We have some clouds that have lowered the numbers from what they were earlier

    • TennMark says:

      Quite a few 77 dew points in Kentucky so far. The Warren County KY was 78, Calloway County KY now 79.

      77 in Cincinnati OH.

      Many 76 and 77 readings in northwestern Tennessee, although “only” 73 in Nashville. My wife loves the AC, me less so. Since I’m a bachelor for a few days, thought about opening up the windows and using the whole house fan but even this warm weather weenie decided against it. πŸ˜‰

  8. Mike S says:

    Kentucky Mesonet site busy again today at Boyle county…1.36″ at 5:30 this evening. Since June 10, this site has recorded over 9″, including an 8-day stretch when only 0.06″ occurred.

  9. Jamie says:

    It’s hot but this is the best growing weather for the beans, tomatoes, and squash. Bring on the summer garden!

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