Good Thursday, everyone. We have a nice weather day in progress across the region, with lower humidity levels and fairly pleasant temps. A little summer sizzle is on the way for the next few days, but a stormy setup into next week looks to usher in a much cooler overall pattern for the country.

Highs today range from 90 in the west, to the low and middle 80s east. Humidity levels will give us a very comfortable feel to the air.

Friday into Saturday will see the steam returning. Highs will generally be in the upper 80s and low 90s, with some higher numbers in the west and the poorly maintained/placed airport thermometers. Humidity levels come back up some, but nothing like what we had last week.

Isolated showers and storms will be noted on Saturday, with showers  and storms really increasing by Sunday and Monday…

This action is ahead of the first of two cold fronts set to impact our weather next week. The second front arrives late next week into the following weekend. Watch the waves of below normal temps take over…

Both of those will knock the numbers down, but it’s a fundamental shift in the overall pattern that’s very common during a developing El Nino.

Everything from the operational models to the ensembles are locking in on this change taking place. I’ve also posted several seasonal models showing the transition and we can add the CAS to the mix. Here’s the model forecast for August-October…

That look digs even deeper for the September-November period…

Make it a great day and take care.