Good Saturday to one and all. A stalled front is teaming with the remnants of Gordon to produce rounds of showers and storms this weekend. The tropical atmosphere means many areas will pick up a lot of rain through Monday, potentially leading to, at least, local high water issues.
Today will feature scattered showers and storms in the east and southeast, with more widespread action in the west and north. Any one area can experience some high water issues, but the greatest risk will be closer to the track of the ghost of Gordon.
Here are the tracking tools for the day…
The showers and storms will continue to increase from west to east tonight and into Sunday. This happens the remnant low from Gordon works through the lower Ohio Valley then wraps up as it lifts to the north. That will also drag a cold front slowly across the state. That front will ignite widespread showers and storms and can cause high water issues across central and eastern Kentucky into early Monday. A few of the storms may even be strong.
Monday as a chance to be pretty cool under clouds and showers. Temps may not get out of the 60s in some areas.
Temps rebound with the threat for more showers and storms into the middle and end of next week. That’s when the focus shifts to the east coast.
Florence is going to track toward the east coast and could be a major Hurricane as it approaches the Carolinas by the middle of next week…
There’s nothing good that can come from the setup.
The models are all over the east coast hit, with some of them taking this far enough inland to influence our weather. The European Model is showing this potential…
The GFS is also a Carolina hit, but it keeps it going up the east coast then back out to sea…
The Canadian is the farthest south and farthest west with the inland track…
It doesn’t end with Florence. Look at the additional action showing up…
Hyper-Active!
I will have updates later today, so check back in. Make it a good one and take care.
When do you think you will know the chances for rain for September 22? I have a wedding that day….
That would be almost just like Hugo. I remember in western NC we didn’t get much of Hugo, but our relatives in Charlotte told is it was horrible. I think it was still a hurricane when it went through Charlotte. Has a tropical system ever landed on the east coast and made its way over the mountains into KY? That would be so strange, almost like the Feb 98 blizzard where we got all that snow from a low off the coast of Virginia, so I guess it is possible.
Hugo was close: It was a tropical storm all the way into SW Virginia. I was only 7 but clearly remember gusty winds and a decent amount of rain….we lost power for just about a half of day!!!
I agree with you about the similar path to Hugo. It is scary to see for the Carolinas, at least this early out. Yikes!
http://www.weather.gov/ilm/HurricaneHugo
I would have been five and living in Morristown TN which got some wind and rain from Hugo. But I have no real memory from that storm. On the other hand, I remember only too well seeing on tv the very scary aftermath of 1992’s Hurricane Andrew.
As a side note, I recall from about six or so a summer t-storm gust making the house creak (sure got my attention 😉 ) and about 30 seconds later the power going out. So I was a little nervous about thunderstorms for a while.
Besides Hugo in my lifetime, I only remember Opal and Katrina bringing any real gusty winds to Harlan: neither brought much rain though.
For rainy tropical systems, Frances, Jean and tropical rainstorm Lee in the 2000s-early 2010s brought a ton of rain to Harlan. The rest have tracked up through the Ohio River Valley and brought next to no rain here.
I must have had the heaviest rainfall in Jefferson County overnight. My sensitive weather station rain gauge measured 3.26″, which I dismissed as too high. However, my personal homemade rain gauge tallied 2.91″ overnight.
You guys are real close to the train tracks 😉
LOL!! wonder how my kid is going to get home from Myrtle Beach. she is supposed to fly home next Sunday.
In a boat maybe?
Seems most of Kentucky would get an inch or less total, based on the path. The pressure is basically making the system act like a train on a track and go to the side and over most of Kentucky. West an north KY though are on the track a little bit. Hence the wording.
Richmond as example has not got any rain since Tuesday (did we get any Tuesday?). Grey skies, but no rain. The rain has been concentrated on Lexington- uncanny.
In my area in Harlan Co. I am still at 0.00 for September and didn’t receive any measurable rain at all in late August. This is the first week I don’t have to mow since April!
Southeast side of Lex has not received a drop of rain all week!
My lawn needs water but everyday I tell myself not to water it becuase all this rain is coming. Still nothing.
Looks just like one of those snowstorms that skips around the LexDome.
Not a dome, just that the rain has not been widespread and was more concentrated. Seems overall, less in Kentucky got rain than did this week and not seeing how the tropical system comes into Kentucky much beyond the far west and upper north.
Seems we are fringe action and less than an inch of rain total. Will be interesting if there are concentrated areas though, like all week.