Good Sunday, folks. Rounds of tropical rain producing showers and thunderstorms continue to work across central and eastern Kentucky today. This action is putting down a ton of rain, leading to the potential for additional high water issues. As we head into the new week, the focus is on Florence and what, if any, impact it could have on our weather.
Today’s showers and storms come at us in waves, with the heaviest rains falling across the eastern half of the state. These torrential rains may cause quick rises on area creeks and streams, leading to additional flash flooding issues. The ground has been worked over by record rains of the past few days, so some significant flooding problems may develop.
In addition to the high water threat, a few strong storms may also flare up. We will have to watch to see if we can get a few storms to spin across the eastern half of the state. A brief tornado is possible.
Here are your tracking tools for the day…
Our slow-moving front continues to press across eastern Kentucky into Monday, leading to additional showers and a few storms. Heavy rains may continue to fall in the southeast, especially early in the day. High temps across the state will generally range from the upper 60s to low 70s.
Tuesday and Wednesday will see the chance for scattered showers and storms around as temps head back to seasonal levels. We may get a little above normal again by the second half of the week as Hurricane Florence nears the east coast.
This storm will be a monster and may very well head into the Carolinas during this time. Here’s the latest specifics and track from the National Hurricane Center…
The GFS continues to take this monster to the east coast, but doesn’t really know what to do with it, stalling it out for days on end…
The Canadian takes our intense hurricane into the Carolinas, with the remnants making it all the way into Kentucky…
The European is a big Carolina hit…
That system then stalls in the Mid-Atlantic states, throwing a bit of moisture into our region…
I will have another update later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.
I viewed three current maps this morning to find the remnants of Gordon and found one that had the circulation over southwest Indiana and the other over Louisville, Kentucky and the last map showed absolutely no circulation at all. Which one is correct ? I would say the water vapor loop with no circulation is the correct one and the current radar verifies this. In my county of Taylor we had very little impact from the remnants of Gordon as the warm front went through and stalled out along the Ohio River cutting off the moisture to the south. Along and north of the Ohio River was a very different story with rainfall totals well over four inches reported. Now it is raining this morning in my county and this could be the back side of this rain event. Florence is still a tropical storm moving due west and is expected to become a major hurricane as it approaches the southeast coast ? Looking to the west a lower dew point front is moving southeast out of Missouri and that is fine by me as this humidity this summer is beginning to affect my health in a very negative way. This Autumn could be extreme as temperatures go from very warm to very cold, and hopefully a little more on the dry side.
The main flow is over the pressure boundary. The pressure has kept the main action away from a lot of KY areas. Louisville area, on north east though was in the sweet spot… sour is more apt.
Other areas though are getting more concentrated, hits. That’s why some areas have got hardly anything and others heavy rain.
Finally, I received a whopping 0.01 last night. At least the frontal boundary may affect Harlan today and Monday with some convective activity. It is amazing that the same areas are getting rain almost daily and I have not had an inch since August 12th!
How much did you finally tally Mike S from Louisville? It appears you may get some more today before the actual front goes east of you.
I’m at a storm total of 5.33″ and it’s beginning to rain again, lightly this time.
Last nights downpour was impressive. It rained very hard for quite some time in Cloverleaf flooding many streets in the neighborhood.
We ended up with 3.19 inches yesterday. Hopefully, not much today but we’re getting cool sprinkles right now (I mean the air is cool…not the sprinkles)
Lots of early morning sun and humidity has made it already quite uncomfortable here in Laurel county.
Hoping that front can push in some good rains later today. It’s been an unbroken record of humid, sunny days with occasional cloud cover that filters the sun, but never really overcast.
It has been a scorcher in Harlan too. For the first 8 days of September, our monthly average here is over 78 degrees….currently hotter than June, July and August!
I am not in the higher elevations, so my lows are quite a bit warmer than what one ever sees through the Mesonet for Black Mt. I have been at 70 or higher 6 out of the first 9 days of September for lows with the other 3 mornings in the upper 60s. Very hot start for September!
In Paintsville now- its partly cloudy and 84 degrees. Rained periodically on Mountain Parkway.
Here on the Northside of Indianapolis I recorded a 3 day total of 6.8.”
On Thursday between 5:00 and 7:00 PM we got hammered , 2.7”
Even though this is a Kentucky weather site, I have been following Chris for about 5 years. Most of his forecasts include our area.
Post office roof in Winchester just collapsed. Looks really bad. I am guessing a clogged drain and to much rain.
A year ago today we were tracking Hurricane Erma. We are still in the same weather pattern ENSO- Neutral phase. #climatechange. Forecasters are saying there is a 65% chance for the formation of a weak El nino for Autumn 2018 and a 70% chance for Winter 2019.
Irma