Good Tuesday, folks. We have some October-like weather across the bluegrass state and that’s a good thing because it means we are actually dry for a change. How long this lasts depends a lot on what happens with Hurricane Florence. Right now, odds are for this system to impact our weather.

Let us begin with today and roll forward. Highs today are in the upper 60s and low 70s for much of central and eastern Kentucky. Clouds are gonna be stubborn in much of this region. Western Kentucky are mainly sunny with upper 70s to near 80.

Wednesday will find readings in the west hitting the low 80s, with upper 70s for the rest of the state. It continues to look dry.

Temps do hit the 80s area-wide Thursday and Friday with isolated showers and thunderstorms possible, especially in the east.

Beyond this, it’s really up to Florence.

This powerful Hurricane continues to work toward the northwest and has a Thursday date with North Carolina. Here are the specifics from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

Here’s a look at the tracks from the various hurricane models…

The European Model continues to show a disaster for North Carolina…

The model then stalls Florence over the Carolinas, ala Harvey, bringing tremendous rains. By Sunday into early next week, the Euro then brings what’s left of Florence into Kentucky, producing heavy rains…

Here’s the rainfall forecast from that run…

The rainfall max on that run is right at 48″ in North Carolina. Wow!

The latest GFS continues to show a bit of a stall and loop before hitting North Carolina, then brings the remnants our way…

Here’s the rainfall forecast from that single run…

The Canadian also has a stall and loop before heading due west, with the remnants also moving into our region…

I will have another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.