It’s All About Hurricane Florence

Good Wednesday, everybody. The weather across our region continues to be pretty darn nice for this time of year. As we roll through the rest of the week and into the weekend, it’s all about Hurricane Florence. What happens with this storm after landfall is the main driver in our weather this weekend into next week.

Before we get to Florence, let’s talk a little bit about the next few days. Highs today range from the mid and upper 70s for much of central and eastern Kentucky to the low 80s west. Clouds are still going to be awfully stubborn for several areas.

Temps should hit the low 80s for Thursday into Friday with the threat for a storm or two going up. The best risk will be on Friday, with a few heavier downpours possible.

From there, what happens to our weather is directly associated with Hurricane Florence. Let’s get a check on the latest vitals with this powerful storm…

cone graphic

The hurricane models continue to show a worst case scenario for North and South Carolina, a slow-moving powerful storm…

Several members continue to bring the remnants toward our region and the GFS Ensembles are similar…

The modelling trend of late continues to take this slow-moving monster toward North Carolina, stall it, then drop it southwest into South Carolina. That would be absolutely crushing to much of both states. After milling around for a day the system then works northwest toward our region. Watch how the GFS does all that, then actually loops the remnant low back into the deep south…

This run of the GFS would bring very gusty winds our way, along with another round of torrential rains from late Sunday through Tuesday…

The European Model is absolutely wild with what it does with Florence. It takes it onshore near Wilmington, NC…

It then comes back out over the water and works southwest along the South Carolina and makes landfall in GEORGIA…

The Georgia coast is one of the most difficult places for any storm to hit because it’s tucked back in a curve along the coast. It doesn’t get direct hits very often, especially from a storm coming from the northeast. I would find this solution to be, if it verifies, a once in a lifetime event.

From there, the storm then heads north toward our region early next week…

As you can see, there are several solutions still on the table with this storm. It may not be for a few more days until I can get a better handle on what kind of impact this will have on our weather.

I will throw you another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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8 Responses to It’s All About Hurricane Florence

  1. Terry says:

    Interestingly enough, Chris may be giving ‘TROPICAL RAIN THREATS and ALERTS’ this weekend in place of the usual winter storms, lol☺

  2. Cold-Rain says:

    NHC sure has changed the cone..With this kind of strong ridging Florence may touch Florida at this wild stuff,,

  3. Schroeder says:

    I think all the weather models are really over playing this storm. It seems that each weather model is trying to make this storm the worse in weather history before it even reaches land. I’ve been tracking Hurricane Florence on the real map which is the twelve hour water vapor loop and find that the eye wall of this storm is very irregular in shape at times and then reforms as it tries to regain strength, a very interesting storm behavior. Still no one knows where and when this storm will make landfall. The people from Virginia south to northeast Florida coast should be making plans to evacuate now and not wait for a potential life threatening situation. Praying for all.

    • BubbaG says:

      The national mets and media are sadly willing it 😉 IMO, local mets in those areas and mets like CB are the ones to listen to.

  4. WantingWinter says:

    The eye will wobble in shape due to the changing water depths, as it comes into warm Caribbean it will strengthen and get organized. Dont think eye makes itnland as far as predicted because of app mtns.

  5. bryan says:

    Our son was evacuated from Parris Island yesterday morning, but sent back as the storm appeared to more of a threat the central coast of North Carolina. Now, most of the models are converging on a path that takes it SW and brings it ashore anywhere from southeastern NC to the Georgia coast.

    They may be evacuating again this weekend.

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