Updating The Florence Impact On Kentucky

Good evening, folks. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on Florence and the impact on it will have on our weather later this weekend into early next week. Heavy rain and gusty winds are on the way to central and eastern Kentucky.

Florence is a super slow-moving Tropical Storm moving out of North Carolina and into South Carolina. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

Florence could still be a Tropical Depression when it arrives in the bluegrass state.

The Hurricane Models continue to be spot on with the same forecast they’ve had all week long…

The same can be said of the GFS Ensembles…

For those who have been solely relying on the European Model, you should stop. It was awful with Gordon and it’s been awful with Florence. The Euro still things Gordon went to Chicago instead of Lexington.

As I mentioned earlier, the center of what’s left of Florence is likely to work across the state Sunday into early Monday. Winds can be very gusty with this system. It’s also been cool to actually see that center showing up on the Wind Gust Forecast map…

The greatest threat from Florence will come from the heavy rainfall. This is a general look at what I’m expecting…

Locally higher amounts may show up along and east of the center of circulation, and those areas will have the greatest risk for flooding issues.

Ahead of the arrival of Florence, watch for some tropical downpour producing showers and storms to go up Saturday afternoon and evening.

We are also seeing a few of those out there this evening…

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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One Response to Updating The Florence Impact On Kentucky

  1. Terry says:

    I could see 4 inches show up in Harlan. I have noticed that a SE storm direction moving NW can upslope some here. Just like an Apps runner brings decent snow in winter here, SE storm systems tend to wring out a bit of enhanced rainfall in Harlan. We shall see!

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