Tracking Florence Toward Kentucky

Good Saturday, everyone. Florence continues to slowly work across South Carolina, dumping a tremendous amount of rain along the way. This system begins to turn to the northwest later today into Sunday, then will pass right on top of us Sunday night and Monday.

My overall thoughts with this system have not changed much at all this week. This continues to look like a heavy rain and gusty wind maker over the next few days.

Let’s start you out with the latest from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

The interactive radar is a work of art for storm trackers. Do some exploring with it and you’re going to find all kinds of neat tools…

The Hurricane Models have been VERY consistent with the forecast track so far, and they are locked in on the Florence to Kentucky scenario…

The GFS Ensembles are also doing really good work in the track department…

Some thoughts on the next few days:

  • Scattered showers and storms will be around this afternoon and evening. Temps are pretty steamy and tropical feeling.
  • What’s left of Florence moves from south to north across the eastern half of Kentucky later Sunday into early Monday. This could still be a tropical depression as it moves in.
  • Given the relatively fast movement of this system, it shouldn’t be able to come close to rain totals from last weekend.
  • A general 1″-3″ of rain is possible across central and eastern Kentucky with locally higher amounts. Some areas of the west may not see very much rain, if any. Here’s a rough outline…

  • Given the recent rains, local high water issues may develop across the east.
  • Winds will be fairly gusty as this system moves through. Gusts of 30-40mph will be possible Sunday and Sunday night. A few gusts can top out near 45mph.


I will hook you up with another update later today. Until then, let’s track today’s scattered storms…

Make it a good one and take care.

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10 Responses to Tracking Florence Toward Kentucky

  1. Schroeder says:

    Hurricane Florence made an interesting study for those meteorologist who specialize in tropical events. For me however, when I learned of two fatalities that occurred yesterday as a result of a large tree falling on a house REALLY got to me and now I am very depressed. Here in Kentucky we complain when it rains four to five inches try thirty six to fifty inches of rain in less than forty eight hours. I have had it with this storm and I will be glad when it’s energy is out to sea over colder waters. Prayers to all !

  2. THE Rooster says:

    I would love for you to add the IR & visable satellites when these things approach the US… this would then be my one stop for all Weather
    Thanks for all you do here Chris

  3. BubbaG says:

    National media has no shame. Calling it a Category 5 flood. Flooding is almost always worse than the wind, so no need for hyperbole. What makes than getting flooded with no power (happened to my family years ago) even worse? Having a bunch of national media rubes asking postulated questions with obvious answers, and then going back to their dry and powered hotel rooms 😉

    • Prelude says:

      Mike Seidel from the weather channel was doing a live feed yesterday. So he’s standing there with his mic and he’s acting like he’s struggling with the extreme wind as he’s giving his report. Funny thing is two teenagers were in the background of the live shot just walking around and having no issues with the wind at all. Things that make you hmmmmm……. I believe that Mike Seidel was exaggerating on how strong the wind was just to get the ratings. Unfortunately that is considered “hyping” at its best.

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