Good Monday, folks. Florence continues to slowly work across the eastern half of the state, bringing gusty winds and heavy rains. This system has dominated our coverage for the past week and change, but it’s now time to talk about where we go after this, including some long range stuff. 🙂

Today is rainy and windy across central and eastern Kentucky, and it still looks likely only a local high water threat. Most areas will not see any kind of high water, so that’s awesome!!

Leftover showers will be around on Tuesday with temps back into the 80-85 degree range. Steamy temps then settle back in for Wednesday and Thursday as the numbers climb a few more degrees. Humidity levels continue to run abnormally high… A trend we have seen all year.

A cold front approaches the state by Friday and Saturday and will likely slow down on top of the region this weekend. That likely spells rounds of showers and storms…

There is an amazing build up of early season cold taking place in Canada, with some areas seeing record snowfall for so early in the year. That cold is likely to throw a big jab at us before the month ends…

With this kind of temperature gradient setting up, maybe some fall severe storms?

I mentioned the early season snow in Canada already showing up. Some of that snow may sneak south of the border into the states before September is over. Check out the Ensembles snow forecast for the next two weeks…

GFS Ensembles

European Ensembles

It’s interesting to see the CFS going cold for October…

I’m not sure I’m ready to buy October being that cold of a month. I do think it gives us an early season frost threat, but I don’t think it’s wall to wall cold.

Oh year, FOR ENTERTAINMENT PUROPSES ONLY… the same run of the CFS had mid month flakes deep into the country…

Going out on a limb here and saying that’s not likely to happen. 😉

Here are your tracking tools to start the week…

Make it a great Monday and take care.