Cold Fronts Get Close

Good Wednesday to one and all. A couple of cold fronts will be getting close to the region in the coming days, and these will continue to fire up scattered showers and storms. In the longer run, big changes are brewing later next week as a deep trough digs in as the tropics come to life.

Let us begin with today and roll forward.

It’s warm and humid with those temps in the 80-85 degree range. A shower or thunderstorm will be rolling through the region as well…

A cold front will move our way later Thursday and should get close enough for a line of showers and thunderstorms to drop in. That happens in the afternoon and evening, with a few of the storms may be on the strong side…

That front never really clears the region, but does keep a shower or storm going into Friday. Highs are back in the 80-85 degree range.

Another front moves close on Saturday, but never makes it through. It will kick off a few more scattered showers and storms…

This warm and humid setup rolls into early next week, at least. That’s when we start watching to see what the tropics can spit out and if it can interact with the trough trying to eject from the west.

The Canadian continues to be pretty excited about this potential…

The GFS is getting closer to this solution, albeit a few days slower…

Have a great Wednesday and take care.

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14 Responses to Cold Fronts Get Close

  1. Terry says:

    I could see the GFS and Canadian being correct next week: more tropical rain for poor ole KY!

    I just hope GFS stays as accurate as the model has been lately when winter arrives.

    • Terry says:

      People like Jimbo, Troy, Andy me and many others want a pattern change now for some fall weather IN FALL and REAL DEAL snow later and not constant rain this winter☺

      • Schroeder says:

        This all depends on what ENSO phase we will be in and what the westerlies across Canada will do latter this Fall and Winter.

      • Troy says:

        Amen to that Terry! Sure would be nice but I don’t think any of expect anything except the status quo of our past 10-15 winters. Unfortunately, it seems that soggy winters with minimal snow is the new norm for our area.

  2. Schroeder says:

    Today it seems like Hurricane Leslie is the main weather event in the central Atlantic. Hurricane Leslie is actually stationary at the present and poses no threat to land except for sea swells near Bermuda. Leslie is influencing our weather by holding a large high pressure ridge in the southeast and expanding it westward. Leslie is expected to move northward and I expect this will cause the ridge to move back into the Atlantic and allow a trough to strengthen to our west. Maybe this is the change we our looking for ? I can’t remember a hurricane developing this far north in October. #climatechangeevent

    • Jeff Kidd says:

      Schroeder it’s called hurricane season and it doesn’t end until November.

      • Schroeder says:

        I know that Jeff. I remember Hurricane Kate which occurred in November. My point was this particular Hurricane Leslie is in the central Atlantic not the Tropics as they are normally ( what’s normal ) I never seen a Hurricane form that far north this late in the season. #climatechangeevent

  3. Prelude says:

    I clearly remember just a couple of weeks ago in my neck of the woods that most meteorologists thought the 90’s were done for the season. Low and behold those same meteorologists have added a couple of 90 degree temperatures back into the forecast over the next 7 days. The dew point values for this time of year is simply absurd.

    • Schroeder says:

      Weather is like life ” It’s uncertain “

    • Mike S says:

      Last 90 degree day in October for Louisville was October 11, 2010, the same year Louisville had 85 days of temperatures at least 90 degrees.
      Interestingly, that October was very dry. Nights were cool and crisp and days were very warm or plain hot. On October 10 that year the high and low temperature for Louisville was 91 and 52, a spread often found in parts of the Midwest or in the western United States.

      • Schroeder says:

        97 degrees was the highest temperature I can remember. If memory serves it occurred on October 12, 1999. I was attending a plant meeting in St. Louis, Mo. at that time. Those wide swings in the highs and lows occur in the desert areas of the southwest where very low dew points are common. That same year we had the coldest December on record and then it warmed up for the rest of the Winter.

  4. Jimbo says:

    There were several 90 degree days in my area back in the blistering hot summer of 2007. We even had a 100 degree day in October of that year. We also had a horrible drought that year it started in April and it continued thru mid October. We were set up for a nasty fire season but rain arrived about a week before Halloween. If my memory serves me right, that year had a pretty weak Winter.

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