Good Sunday, folks. It’s another wet weather maker rolling back into the bluegrass state and it has a tropical connection. This rain is from what’s left of Hurricane Sergio from the Pacific Ocean. As this passes through, another rain maker follows it up to star the week ahead that will also feature frosty cold mornings.

Let’s begin with the setup of today and roll forward. Numerous showers continue to push across the state from southwest to northeast. Locally heavy downpours are possible and I can’t rule out a little rumble of thunder…

The setup for Monday will feature a slow-moving front draped across the region with a wave of low pressure along it. The end result will be chilly rains north of the boundary with a few storms south of it…

That same setup later in November or December would be a big snow and ice maker across this region. Even though it’s only the middle of October, it’s still producing early season snows way far south in the plains states…

Once leftover showers move way on Tuesday, the first hard frost of the season is waiting in the wings for Wednesday and/or Thursday mornings. Below freezing temps are possible for lows…

Another big system will then roll our way by next weekend, bringing an increase in rain and the potential for Ohio Valley flakes behind it…

Even colder air follows that one up, with a likely visit from Mr. Freeze…

This is some cold stuff showing up  on the Ensembles…

The pattern is ripe for a MAJOR amplification and storm system for the final week of October.

I may throw you another update later today. On Monday, I have some new winter models to throw your way. B to the RR 😉

Have a great Sunday and take care.