Happy Halloween, folks. Rain and thunderstorms have engulfed much of the region on this big day as our big storm system rolls into the region. The target areas for the worst of the weather continue to be western, northern and parts of central Kentucky.

Our Flood Watch rolls on, but I don’t agree with the trimming of the counties in the Lexington metro…

Many areas have already picked up 3″ of rain on the day and will get in  on a lot more.

The Greatest Risk area will pick up a general 2″-4″ of rain during this time, with locally higher amounts up to 6″ possible. Flooding and flash flooding will be possible. As I’ve mentioned on many occasions, there is a VERY sharp cutoff on the eastern and southeastern side of the heavy rain. That means areas of the east and southeast may not pick up very much at all.

Winds will continue to be an issue into Thursday with gusts of 40mph or greater showing up…

Leftover chilly showers will be with us on Friday, but things clean up for Saturday. Another shower maker moves in later Sunday with another big storm system due in here Tuesday…

Heavy rain, strong storms and high winds will again be possible. Check out the forecast gusts off the European Model…

That’s followed up by a surge of cold air and the potential for another system moving in. The European Model has the first flakes late next week…

Check out the cold on the model behind that…

The GFS Ensembles are also showing the flake potential over the next few weeks…

Here are your tracking tools to get you through the rest of the day…

Have a Happy Halloween and take care.