Good Saturday, folks. Old Man Winter crashed into the region last night, bringing snow showers and frigid winds. This is the opening act to a potential bigger storm system rolling our way late Monday into Tuesday. That’s a winter storm that can bring accumulating snow to much of the region.

Let’s begin with today’s weather and then roll ahead.

The morning starts with a few flurries and snow showers quickly working away from eastern Kentucky. These flakes are leaving behind a few dusted rooftops and decks…

Temps are frigid with readings in the 20s and wind chills in the teens this morning. Sunshine and 30s take over for the afternoon.

Our developing winter storm takes aim at the region Monday and Tuesday with rain and snow. How much snow falls and where it falls remain to be seen. That depends on the strength and exact track of the low from the Gulf up the east coast.

I put this map together Friday afternoon and I’m sticking with it…

That doesn’t mean you will have snow on the ground where you live, but it’s showing the area I believe to have the greatest risk of getting accumulating snows. Could be a light accumulation or something a little bigger, I’m just not quite sure yet.

All of this looks to start as rain on Monday then switch to snow Monday night and Tuesday. This shows up on every model we see…

NAM

GFS

New GFS

Canadian

That’s also some VERY cold air coming in here behind that system. If we can put snow on the ground… IF… Then we could challenge record lows.

As I look beyond that system… The trough lifts out pretty quickly, but we need to watch for something digging in behind that for next weekend. No model is really showing much, but you know me and the signals I pick up on. šŸ™‚

Updates will be coming throughout the day, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.