Winter Weather Pattern Continues

Good Sunday, folks. Seasonally cold temps are in store for the region today, but the focus going forward is on a series of winter weather chances for the week ahead. We have no less than 3 different systems that can bring some snow to parts of Kentucky and surrounding areas.

The first system rolls in for Monday and Tuesday and brings rain and some snow. As mentioned earlier this system looks more and more strung out as we get closer, but it’s that strung out look that may also give us another winter weather chance by late Wednesday and Thursday.

Let’s take system number one and break it down. Rain rolls in on Monday, with a switch to light snow and a mix on the western and northern side of the precipitation shield Monday night. By Tuesday, light snow and some snow showers show up. Here’s the GFS…

The GFS snowfall forecast from that run…

That matches up with the map I put out earlier Saturday…

The Canadian is still trying to hit a second wave of snow in the southeast late Tuesday…

For snow purposes, this is a fairly light event, but it’s a bonus for this time of year.

Speaking of a bonus… The energy holding back from the first system is toing to try to come out late Wednesday and Thursday. Here’s how the GFS is playing it…

The Canadian is similar…

To make the pattern just a little wilder, you may notice a trailing system going through the Bahamas. That may actually become a tropical system…

Our third potential winter weather maker arrives next weekend in the form of a clipper with arctic air behind it…

The first 10 days of November have been very cold with the next week looking even colder. Check out the temperature anomalies through next weekend…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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10 Responses to Winter Weather Pattern Continues

  1. Jared from Letcher County says:

    Looks like the clipper system next weekend will probably be our best chance to put snow on the ground.

  2. Terry says:

    It is crazy to think mid-week wouldn’t be more snow instead of rain around Thurday’s new system as the cold would already be in place for SE KY…this doent look right to me. Nonetheless, this stinks with severe model misguidance☹. Dang, GFS has been on such a good run with heavy rain events almost all year and really let a stinker for Tueday snow as it had been showing up well for about 10 days only to go out the door within 72 hours of the event…sigh!

    I still agree with most though, everything is in play for a lot more snow this winter….just need the models to sta th behaving better!

    • Andy Rose says:

      ou shouldn’t be surprised Terry. My morning low was 18.9 this morning .

      • Terry says:

        Geeze, I am starting to wonder if this is not going to be a double digit rainfall November….we have storm after storm set to hit us, especially SE KY over the next 10 days. I am concerned a little for high water in Harlan on Tuesday as most data suggests near 2 inches Monday night/Tuesday morning!

        I hit 21 even for my low….everything in my yard is toast!

    • Bengalfan says:

      You said it…GFS has been really good with rain events…it still is!
      When you see the color blue , it really means green. It’s ok though, i love cold rain, ha
      U.K. Cats disappointment, no snow disappointment, I’m really hoping that somehow my Bengals can break my disappointment today with a win.
      But on a good note, I’m healthy, sun is shining, let’s make a good day

  3. Reenyinky says:

    17 degrees in Greenup County near I-64! We had an inch of water on our water trough this morning! WoooooHoooo!!!

  4. Mike York says:

    In my 14 years here in central KY and following the blog since its inception I have noticed that snow forecasting is VERY difficult. We can nail rain and non-snow severe weather but snow is a different beast – much harder to nail down. I guess that is in part to temperatures – a degree or tow in the summer and you still have rain. A degree or two in winter we have snow or we don’t.

  5. Jimbo says:

    Around here in Winter, when a storm comes. Always go with rain being the dominant precipitation type. It is extremely rare for a storm to begin and end as snow. Even in January or February. Finally had a hard freeze at my house this morning, temp fell to 18.

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