Good evening, folks. A developing winter storm is heading our way and arrives late Wednesday afternoon and hangs around through Thursday night. Snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain are likely across the state during this rare mid-November winter storm.

A Winter Storm Watch is already out for western parts of the state…

I would expect that to be upgraded to a warning later tonight and for Winter Weather Advisories to be issued for much of the rest of the state. This may approach warning criteria into parts of central Kentucky where freezing rain is much more of a threat.

Earlier today, I pulled the trigger on a Winter Storm THREAT and my thoughts remain unchanged…

Let’s see how the latest models are playing this storm…

European

GFS

There has been the trend for a little more of a snow signal early on across parts of central Kentucky, but the freezing rain signal continues to be the top dog…

GFS

NAM

Hi Res NAM

The  short range Canadian is very amped up on the freezing rain….

Freezing rain may become a pretty big issue starting Wednesday evening into Wednesday night. That should go over to plain rain early Thursday morning as temps slowly climb above freezing.

Temps then drop from west to east with the rain changing to light snow Thursday afternoon and evening. The bulk of the snow falls in western Kentucky, where several inches are possible…

GFS

European

NAM

I will have an update on WKYT-TV at 11 and will First Call it later tonight. Enjoy the evening and take care.