Good Wednesday, everyone. A winter storm is set to impact the region later today through Thursday. Rain, sleet, freezing rain and snow will all be noted with this storm, and that’s a very rare occurrence for the month of November.

Let’s begin with the latest Winter Weather Alerts map. This will update as new information comes in…

All modes of winter precipitation are on the table from late this afternoon into the wee hours of Thursday morning. Snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain will be showing up across Kentucky. Given the different precipitation types and duration of each, nailing down amounts is super tough for any one location.

Let me begin by saying I do not expect this to be a full blow ice storm in the true sense of the term. The ground temps are still above freezing, so that will help us out in a big way. Still, elevated surfaces could pick up on a coating of ice as far western Kentucky picks up on a heavy band of snow.

I’m leaving open a pretty good window of freezing rain accumulation and will close the gap with my next update. Here’s a general First Call for Ice and Snowfall…

Let me try to break that down a little better:

  • The snow in western Kentucky will be fairly heavy at times. Accumulations of 2″-6″ are possible. Heavier totals will likely be just north of the river.
  • The freezing rain and mix area will experience a little bit of everything from this evening into the wee hours of Thursday morning. By daybreak, temps should be above freezing with mostly rain falling. That rain continues to fall into the daytime hours before switching to light snow from west to east by late afternoon and evening. Light accumulations will be possible.
  • The mainly rain area may still see a touch of frozen at the start, but rain looks like the main precipitation type until late Thursday into Thursday night. That’s when light snow takes over with light accumulation possible.

Let’s get a check of what some of the models are suggesting. The European Model has a healthy swath of freezing rain…

That’s similar to the Canadian…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

For snowfall, the heaviest action is across the far west. The European…

The NAM has some pockets of better snows farther east with the wrap around action late Thursday…

So does the European Model…

I will have updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.