Thanksgiving Weather & A Return To Winter

Good Tuesday, folks. We are just one day away from the infamous Planes, Trains and Automobile post and that can only mean one thing… Thanksgiving is near. While the weather looks pretty good for the big day, the active pattern returns this weekend with a winter look setting in next week.

Speaking of winter, there’s a touch of winter possible today. Scattered rain and snow showers are dotting the skyline across parts of central and eastern Kentucky today…

Highs today are generally in the upper 30s to low 40s.

Wednesday is the busiest travel day of the year and the weather looks pretty good. Temps will be seasonally chilly with a few clouds increasing across the central and east. Those clouds are ahead of a front dropping into eastern Kentucky from the northeast. That brings a little more chill in these areas for Thanksgiving, with milder air in the far west. Check out the highs on the NAM…

The core of hat arctic air is across the northeastern part of the country and will impact the Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade. Look at those wind chills to start…


Our next system blows in very quickly by Black Friday afternoon and evening. Rain will increase from west to east and continue into the first half of Saturday…

Once that moves away, we focus on yet another storm system moving into the region by late Sunday and Monday. The models vary with how to handle this system, but do show quite a bit of wind, rain and then some snow. The GFS decided to turn this storm into a biggie..

The European Model isn’t nearly as strong, but also shows a similar scenario with a wrap around light snow maker following it up…

As that trough gets established behind the exiting storm… Watch the end of next week for another storm to develop and threaten us with wintry weather.

The final winter forecast from the Jamstec matches up well with the pattern unfolding next week into early December. This has a lot of cold across the country with above normal precipitation in our region…

This winter has the potential to be a heavyweight for a lot of the country!

I will have more updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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11 Responses to Thanksgiving Weather & A Return To Winter

  1. Terry says:

    I like the looks of the POTENTIAL for a lot of snow for sure, but unfortunately, I believe our risk for flooding will be SUPER HIGH this upcoming winter whether or not we see a ton of snow. Most of us are going to end 2018 nearly 20 inches above normal on rainfall going into the time of year where the ground doesn’t absorb as much moisture due to growing season being over. We will likely see more than one big high water event if these BIGGIE rainmakers continue…already looks like more than an inch rain from the weekend into early next week for tge next two systems alone!

    • prelude says:

      As long as it’s not start several inches of rain at one time the ground will handle a inch or two.

      • Matt says:

        Yes, especially here in the mountains, it pretty much runs directly off and out the river. Its when we have snow on the ground then get 2-3 inches of rain is when we have problems.

  2. prelude says:

    It’s not, not “it’s not start” I need to “start” proof reading more.

  3. Prelude says:

    I need to proofread more. Ignore the word “start”

  4. BubbaG says:

    Seems our main threat could be mix events, with little to no accumulation. Maybe a shot for a white rooftop Christmas at least? January though still looks like could be a start of some decent chances.

  5. Lotsasnow says:

    Met here in Columbus ohii still sticking with much above temps for dec and January even said record temps on table.he is also a global im sick of people forcasting what they want to happen

    • Terry says:

      Sounds like NWS….they just changed their forecast last week after stating “warmer” for last several months. Like you, I agree that people need to state what the data suggests and not any agenda!

  6. BillyS says:

    There’s that word…. potential. Such a wavering word in the English language, meaning there is about the same chance that this winter is a dud…, yet, the word “potential” gives us great hope.,,, fingers crossed

  7. Jimbo says:

    I am still betting on mostly rain with the dreaded backside flurries in my part of the tri-state.

    • Terry says:

      The current model runs are lousy and way too far NW with the systems next week for us to see much white, especially SE KY. Hopefully, this will change as models struggle with arctic air far out. Blocking is well established now so all we can do is wait and see! I think temps will be much colder than models currently forecast 10 days out, fingers crossed!

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