Good evening, folks. It’s Thanksgiving Eve and all is well in the weather world as holiday travelers hit the highways and the skyways. This nice stuff takes us into Thanksgiving, but things get super active after that. Two systems are going to impact the weekend, with the last one bringing a shot of winter. That likely begins another very wintry setup carrying us into early December.
The rain that rolls in later Friday into early Saturday is likely to bring some pretty good rains to the state, especially in central and eastern Kentucky. The NAM has some 1″-2″ rains showing up…
That would be enough rain to push several cities into the wettest year on record. Lexington just needs a little more than 1″ of rain to take the top spot.
Winds are also very gusty Friday into Saturday.
The next system moves in quickly behind this one and arrives by Sunday evening. Winds are going to crank with this storm system and should reach 40mph+ at times…
A wall of rain rolls quickly eastward across the state as temps crash quickly. Rain will change to a period of light snow Sunday night and early Monday with wraparound snow showers or flurries behind it.
The models are in their typical “all over the place” mode for later next week. There is just too much energy in a loaded pattern for much consistency from the operational models. Still, they’re trying to figure it all out…
I continue to watch the European Ensembles showing a VERY cold setup as we get into early December. The Polar Vortex is on our side of the pole the coldest temps anomalies in the northern hemisphere are aimed right at us…
That could be some serious cold if it works out.
Snow chances should also be noted and the GFS Ensembles are picking up this pretty well over the next 2 weeks…
Enjoy your evening and take care.
Well, i dont want any flooding at all, but I am a go big or not at all type of weather person. Here is to hoping Lexington goes ahead and breaks the rainfall record by Saturday eveningâș….imagine how much above 2011 Lexington may be 5 more weeks from now with the active pattern in place!!!
By the Way, Harlan mesonet is inching towards 80 inches of rain while many mesonet locals are over 60, going on 70. I am at 61.59 year-to-date!
Now, the blocking is ridiculously strong and should be colder than what the models currently show 10 days or so out temp wise. We have had enough rain and need some early holiday snow!!!