Good afternoon, everyone. Snow showers and flurries are still flying across parts of southeastern Kentucky as cold northwest winds continue. As we go into a small break from winter, there’s still the chance a touch of winter weather kicks off that windy and wet break.
Before I get to that, let me throw the regional radar your way to track the flakes in the east…
I’ve talked and talked about the potential for tomorrow’s light rain to start out as a touch of sleet or freezing rain. The models weren’t supporting this, but I chose to live in the real weather world and not the virtual weather world. 😉 Now, the models are trying to get into CB frame of mind and are showing some light ice in the north…
NAM
Hi Res NAM
With low-level cold, dry air in place, a brief period of freezing rain or sleet is possible before we go over to plain old light rain as temps rise.
Rain and a few thunderstorms are likely from Friday through Saturday as low pressure wraps up across the Mississippi Valley and heads toward the Great Lakes. Heavy rainfall and high winds of 40-50mph are possible during this time…
A few strong storms are possible, especially across the west.
Colder air seeps in behind this system by Monday as the next system tries to develop. We are seeing a split in the modelling on how to handle any potential storm system early next week. The GFS goes back and forth with the track of any potential storm. The current run as it on top of us with likely a rain to snow setup…
The Canadian pushes this storm farther south and east and is much weaker. It basically crushes the storm with arctic air flooding in from the northwest…
We shall see how this works out, but it appears to be a rain to snow situation in my eyes.
Very cold air moves in behind that as we watch for a much bigger storm system to take a southern track toward the end of next week…
I will try to update things later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.
Thanks Chris. Always interesting this time of year, isn’t it? Hope the rain slacks for the Christmas parade on Saturday. We will see I guess… Have a good afternoon everyone
If this late next week system was within 24 hours, GFS would crush SE KY….too bad it is more than week away!
Does not look like much of a winter so far.
Coming from the guy in his earlier post saying the wind chills were just to much for him to handle yesterday.
It’s technically not “Winter” yet, Shroe…..I think this will be one of those that some of us remember for a long time to come. I’m really hoping, because I love, love, LOVE snow/ice/whatever!!! It’s been a while since I’ve seen ANY kind of snow and/or ice in Nov. It’s warmed some here in Bardstown today, but I’m still seeing patches of light snow from yesterday/overnight remaining! Don’t throw up the white flag just yet! It’s coming!
I’ve seen a few instances in which very light freezing rain on trees is rather photogenic, especially when the sun shines on all the ice covered branches.
Still, even many winter lovers I know detest ice storms. True, we don’t exactly have much choice in the matter. While my wife loves winter in general, she as a kid experienced the devastating Feb 1994 ice storm in southern Kentucky (same event that crippled Memphis and Nashville). She/family went sometime without power and central heat.
I had just moved to Evansville IN when I went through the infamous 2009 ice storm. Lucky I still had power. Days later as I was going south to visit family I witnessed even worse destruction in areas like Madisonville KY.
Both the 1994 ice/wet snow event and the 93 Super Storm were knockouts in Harlan. I was a kid and nothing to compare to those storms since….will that change this upcoming season….hummmm?
One wonders!
I as a kid lived through the March 93 Super Storm in Morristown TN. By far the most amazing snow storm/blizzard I’ve been through.
Well it’s not actually winter yet so…
Must be what the water vapor loop is showing..Ha..
Lol at Schroeder throwing in the towel before it’s even December!!! Stick to your vapor loop and the gulf sea surface temps. Indian Summer and drought to return next week lol!!
I just read a tweet from MIT climatologist Judah Cohen that there is the possibility of a significant disruption of the polar vortex in the second half of December. The potential of us having a white Christmas is there.
Read this as well. However, for the implications to reach the atmosphere could take a couple weeks.
Yeah, it could be like last year in January when we got blasted by harsh cold at New Year’s. Hopefully we don’t get the subjet crushed by too much of arctic air like last year. I really think this year will work out different, better!