Saturday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. It’s a rather bumpy Saturday with rounds of showers and storms rolling across the state. It’s not the typical opening day for December, but nothing about our weather pattern is anything close to typical anymore.

Strong storms continue to push across the state and I will get you the tracking tools in a bit. First, let’s talk about the upcoming change back to winter.

After a very windy and nice Sunday, temps begin to fall on Monday as a cold front moves in. That front may touch off a shower or two in the afternoon, with a few flakes flying Monday night. Periods of light snow and snow showers will then settle in for Tuesday and Wednesday…

Some light accumulations are possible as cold air takes control of the pattern, once again.

Keep an eye on late Thursday or Thursday night for a possible light snow maker. That’s been showing up more and more of late, but I’m not quite sold on it yet.

The potential storm system for the weekend continues to show up well on the models. This is a signal I’ve been talking about for about a week, now. While the models have a fairly significant storm, they differ on exactly what to do with it.

The European Model continues to show a healthy snow hit…

The new version of the GFS has a similar look…

The GFS shows a different solution with each run, but that’s to be expected from this far out. The latest run is the farthest north of all the models…

The Ensembles are more in line with the operational European. These maps are for the next two weeks with our storm potential right in the middle of that time…

Euro Ensembles

GFS Ensembles


I will get more into this later tonight.  As usual, I have you all set to track the weather for the rest of the day…


Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a great day and take care.

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3 Responses to Saturday Evening Update

  1. Terry says:

    Lexington! Dang, the city is wasting no time on racing towards the 70 inch mark. 2011 will be blown way behind by months end☺

    Back to winter….I hope SE KY can at least get some next weekend. Still too far away and a bit too west of a low track for my liking but at least some possibility. Plus, some good dustings here and there looks likely on Tuesday and Wednesday….fun week to come!

  2. Mike S says:

    Using a similar statistic that CB tweeted earlier about number of days something has fallen from the sky, the number of days with measurable precipitation, that is at least 0.01″, stands at 154 for 2018.
    Here is a top list with more days per year of measurable precipitation for Lexington ending December 31…
    1972 15 15 13 17 12 9 14 9 11 10 16 18 159
    1926 15 14 18 11 9 14 13 17 9 16 10 12 158
    1890 20 17 16 14 13 13 8 13 15 13 6 9 157
    1892 14 10 16 15 19 14 15 9 9 6 18 11 156
    1935 13 10 20 15 18 12 13 11 5 11 13 14 155
    1898 16 10 16 11 11 10 16 10 15 13 13 13 154
    1974 14 9 17 10 12 12 8 17 14 8 14 18 153

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