Good Sunday, everyone. Heavy rain and thunderstorms drenched many areas of the bluegrass state on Saturday, setting rainfall records along the way. We are getting a nice break from the rain today, but Old Man Winter is ready to take control of the pattern again as we head into the new week. Several snow chances are on the weather menu, including the potential for a late week winter storm impact.

Morning showers and storms move way, leaving a mostly sunny sky for many. Winds will be gusty with many thermometers topping out in the 60s. Winds will continue to be rather gusty, but the day looks pretty good in the overall scheme of things.

Another cold front drops in here on Monday and will knock our temps down quickly from northwest to southeast. A shower or two is possible as our front moves through, with some flakes flying by Monday night. The setup for Tuesday and Wednesday will feature some light snow, snow showers, and snow flurries for much of the region. There is an increasing threat for a light snowfall for many areas. The models are hinting at this…

New GFS

European Model

The best chance of putting light snow on the ground is Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Another sneaky light snow system zips quickly across the Ohio Valley late Thursday into Thursday night. This has the chance to throw a little more of the flake action as far south as the bluegrass state…

This sets the stage for the system we’ve been talking about for a long time now. It’s a southern stream winter storm that works from west to east then tries to turn the corner up the east coast. Those kinds of storms usually threaten our region with decent winter weather.

Our forecast models continue to have their usual waffles from several days out, but that’s typical and you shouldn’t get caught up in any one run or model. Let’s get a check of said models to see what they are looking like as of this writing…

The European Model continues to show a pretty big snow hit for much of the state and region…

The GFS is farther south than prior runs, showing much more of a snow threat…

The new version of the GFS is singing a similar tune…

The Canadian…

If we look at the GFS Ensembles, they continue to grow much more confident in snowfall over the next two weeks. Look how far south the snow line goes…

I will have updates coming your way later today. Make it a good one and take care.