Good Tuesday, everyone. Periods of light snow continue to settle into the region today and will carry us into Wednesday. This should bring some light accumulations to many areas, with another light snow maker lurking for later in the week. It’s once into the weekend that a much bigger storm system has a chance to impact our weather.

The rounds of light snow and snow showers today through early Wednesday may have some overachieving bands, especially across the eastern half of the state. Much of the light sticking snow waits until after dark to kick in. Here’s a rough outline of the light snowfall potential…

Many areas will be getting in on a coating to 1″, with some of those overachieving snow streaks showing up in the outlined areas.

The models are going in this direction…

Hi Res NAM

NAMCanadian

A few slick spots are a good bet later tonight and early Wednesday. This may cause a few delays or cancellations.

The next system arrives late Thursday and looks fairly light. It should be in the form of a rain/snow mix, with a period of light snow setting up for some…

That brings us to the rather complicated setup for a developing winter storm that may impact our region this coming weekend into early next week. Regular readers know I’ve been tracking this storm signal for well over a week now and it continues to strongly show up. The devil is, as always, in the details.

As I’ve mentioned, it’s going to be another day or two before  we see the models get a firm grip on how to handle this storm system ejecting out of the southwest. That rolls from west to east across the deep south, but has an inverted trough into our region. That storm then tries to turn the corner and may actually slow down in doing so.

The exact track of this low is crucial to how much snow we can get around here. Some models absolutely crush areas of the state, while others show a lighter brand of snow and even some ice.

The new version of the GFS has been the steadiest of the models over the past few days. It has had a very consistent track and evolution…

You can see how the model keeps that second little system spinning over our region, keeping snow going into early next week. That has been something showing up more and more and has my attention.

While the European Model is still having some feedback issues, notice how it also keeps that second system going into early next week…

Both of those models have some insane snow totals showing up because of that slow moving system on top of us. Of course… That does not mean they are right! I’m just breaking down the models for you guys. 😉

The current version of the GFS is still playing catch up with the rest of the models with the whole evolution and track…

The south and east bias of the model continues to be in full effect.

The Canadian Model doesn’t bother with the second system and, instead, brings this whole thing out and bombs it out up the east coast…

The average snowfall from the 21 member GFS Ensembles has a healthy swath from west to east across the state…

At this point, it’s going to be awfully difficult to keep Kentucky from seeing some kind of snow impact from this winter storm. Will it be a small event or a big event where you live? That’s a question I cannot answer at this moment, but I suspect I will have a better idea later today.

If you’re a winter weather love… Wow is about all you can say. We’ve already had 14 days with winter precipitation and it’s only December 4th. Also, it may snow somewhere in Kentucky on each of the next 7 days. Yowza.

I will have updates later today, so check back. Until then, let’s track todays snow showers and light snows…

Enjoy the day and take care.