Happy Saturday, folks. I wanted to drop by for a super visual, but relatively short update in terms of my thoughts. I will offer up another update in a few hours (after the UK game ;)) and that will get much more specific.

I still cannot believe only a Winter Weather Advisory is out for the south and southeast, but this is what the NWS is giving us at the moment…

I will have a new call for ice and snowfall coming up in the next update, but here’s the one I started with last night…

Those lines may get bumped north a bit with the next update.

You can see the progress of the winter storm to our west and south…

I told you this update was going to be high on visuals and I’m a weatherdude of my word. Let’s take a look at the individual models to see how they are looking.

The NAM continues to put down quite a bit of freezing rain and snow. Check out the mega-sharp gradient on the northern edge of the precipitation shield…

NAM Freezing Rain

NAM Snowfall

The Hi Res NAM is similar…

The freezing rain map shows quite a bit more and is a bit farther north…

The snow map also hits the southeast pretty hard, but is a bit farther north…

The short range Canadian Model continues to be farther north and west with the entire storm. It also is showing the lingering snows many models had several days ago…

The snow forecast from that model is much father north…

The freezing rain output is also farther north…

The GFS has been lost in the woods for days now, but it’s the only model certain forecasters use and that’s a bloody shame. I suspect that’s why our friends at the NWS are playing catch up. Still, the GFS is FINALLY coming in line with everything else…

The snow map is still underdone and too far south…

But, it’s finally seeing the extent of the freezing rain…

The new version of the GFS isn’t finished, yet, but appears to be in line with everything else outside the GFS, which it’s set to replace soon. The euro will be off and running shortly.

I will have both those models and a new call for ice and snowfall with the next update. Have a good one and take care.