Good Tuesday, everybody. It’s one week until Christmas and we are tracking another monster storm system moving to kick off the busy Christmas travel period. This is a huge storm that brings heavy rain, gusty winds and the possibility of wraparound snows to the bluegrass state.

In the overall scheme of things, my thoughts on this have not change very much. But, let’s freshen ’em up a little bit:

  • Our timeline continues to be Thursday through Saturday Morning
  • Heavy rain moves in Thursday and continues through Friday
  • The heaviest rains will be across the eastern half of the state with a general 1″-3″ a good bet. That would be enough to cause some flooding issues to develop in some spots.
  • Rain totals will be much lighter in the west.
  • Gusty winds are a safe bet during this time and could reach 35mph to 40mph on occasion.
  • As the low goes by to our northeast on Friday, the chance for wraparound snows is looking a little better. Some light accumulations are possible as of now across areas of central and eastern Kentucky. POSSIBLE being the key word.

This system is just getting to within the range of the NAM. This run goes through early Friday morning and you can see the wraparound snows…

The European Model continues to see the cold air just a little better, leading to some wraparound flakes…

That isn’t too different from what the new version of the GFS is seeing…

The GFS is showing the quick switch to some wet snow on the back edge of the departing rain shield…

The Canadian Model is currently most aggressive with the cold behind the low and has the best snow chance of all the models…

The Icon is also seeing some wraparound snows…

As you can see, every model is forecasting some wraparound snows to impact parts of our region. They seem to be seeing more cold air as we get closer to this storm system. Does that mean we can squeeze out some accumulations or just get a few festive flakes? That remains to be seen, but the trend is colder at the moment.

The models are still trying to figure out the weak system moving in behind that later Sunday into Christmas Eve Day. The Canadian Model has the most precipitation right now…

I will have your regular updates later today. Until then, make it a good one and take care.