Active Pattern Keeps On Rolling

Good Saturday, folks. Old Man Winter brought a little snow back into the region overnight and a few flakes continue early today. As this system moves way, we have another one ready to take its place on Sunday. This is all part of a very active pattern that rolls through the rest of the year and into early 2019.

Let’s begin with today and roll forward.

Wet snow lingers into early this morning across the east and southeast. That’s where light accumulations have occurred, especially in the high ground of the far southeast. Here are some early day tracking tools…

Pine Mountain

Jenkins

Skies become partly sunny from the west as temps reach the high 30s to low 40s.

Clouds will increase tonight ahead of a light system moving through for Sunday. This brings a period of light rain and a touch of light snow to the region…

That moves through at a pretty good clip, allowing for nice travel weather on Christmas Eve. You will notice some clouds increasing by the end of the day and those clouds thicken as Santa arrives later in the night. By Christmas Day, some light rain and light snow will move across the region. This doesn’t look like a big deal, but the European Model is spitting out the chance for some flakes in several areas…

That precipitation is actually on the leading edge of milder air shooting in here for the middle of the week. This is ahead of another massive storm system that develops in the plains. That will bring a lot of rain and wind back into Kentucky for Thursday and early Friday…

Some thunderstorms will be possible ahead of that system on Thursday and heavy rains could cause additional high water issues.

Much colder air continues to press in behind that for next weekend into the New Year holiday. This colder air will meet up with our active storm track to produce several winter storms that could threaten our part of the world. You can see a couple of those on the GFS…

Updates later today, so y’all come back now, ya hear?!

Have a good one and take care.


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26 Responses to Active Pattern Keeps On Rolling

  1. B H says:

    Daylight hours will start getting longer now. Just love to here thunder this time of year around Christmas. Reminds me of spring. Sarcasm..

  2. Which Way Is the Wind Blowing says:

    I hope I receive an umbrella for Christmas.

  3. BengalFan says:

    Chris. Even looking down the road to New Years , winter storms on your model show mostly rain???? What is changing?

    • Prelude says:

      Instead of the temps being between 50-55 with rain. Temps down the road will be between 35-45 with a colder rain.

    • Jimbo says:

      The more things change, the more they stay the same. Might be a Winter Storm for some just not us.

      • Terry says:

        We are going into extreme flood threat mode! Regardless of how much snow we end up getting in 2019, we are likely to have multiple flood events on a regional basis this year to come. Fall just ended very wet and the upcoming pattern looks WETTER through March. INSANE!!!

    • Mss says:

      The ensembles show favorable upper air pattern with ridge popping up on the west and blocking near Greenland. But that darn south east ridge is also rearing its head… How many winters have we seen eaten away by that pesky thing. Gefs says that that se ridge is not long lived though. Take it as it goes.

    • Msd says:

      Ensembles show favorable upper air pattern. But I hope the south east ridge it hints at stays weak. Don’t pay attention to anything more than the upper air ten days out.

  4. Terry says:

    I received 2.08 in for the last 24 hrs! Now, I am less than 3 inches away from 70 inches on the year and looks possible I may top it late next weekend as we have at least 3 systems to come. Even the weak system tomorrow looks like it will be greater than .25 inches in SE KY!

    Yes, I got 0 snow but the accumulation line got pretty close to the valley last night. I can look up on the hills and see some white trees so it feels “Christmasish.” LOL

    • Jimbo says:

      I picked up just over 2 inches rain the past 2 days. Bringing
      me up to just shy of 66 inches, the old record was 62.01. I am amazed that there hasn’t been more widespread flooding in my area. At least you can see some snow from your house. Not so lucky here, we can’t buy a flake in my neck of the woods. And it doesn’t look like there will be any for sale in my near future.

    • Andy Rose says:

      1.6 for my backyard for the event

  5. BubbaG says:

    A little snow seems a bit generous πŸ˜‰ If we go by the mountains for snow, Gatlinburg as example gets a little snow too- in the mountains as well πŸ™‚ Heck, part of our ecosystem depends on snow packs in the winter, that then melts and flows downward in the spring πŸ™‚ Lower elevations where 99.5% of the population is though, gets cold rain.

    Given all the rain and our best December snow chance in literally decades incredulously went south, and hard due east of us- It does not exactly create a lot of warm fuzzy confidence for snow chances for the next several weeks, yet alone December.

    Still seems some good chances to come, may the be Dumb and Dumber or something more πŸ™‚

  6. Cold-Rain says:

    Stout -nao showing up around the 6th..Could have something to do with the ssw event..Who knows..Anyways believe that period and onwards will be money..

    • Terry says:

      I agree! I am hoping for a longer winter than 2014-2015 though as that season really didn’t start until Feb 1st and ended first week of March.

  7. TomNLincoln says:

    So much for a December to remember. Let me off of this rain train.

  8. Jimbo says:

    The rain train has over 12 months of momentum behind it. And there doesn’t appear to be anything out there in the near future to stop it or much less slow it down. I am glad but very surprised that there has’nt been any major flooding during the past year.

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