Thursday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. High winds and heavy rains continue to push across the bluegrass state, causing some issues along the way. Among those issues, wind damage and flooding. That flood threat across southeastern Kentucky continues to be elevated through tonight.

That’s a part of the state that can pick up a general 1″-3″ of rain tonight, with local 4″ amounts possible. If those numbers verify, flooding and flash flooding will develop.

Winds are already gusting in excess of 50mph and may approach 60mph in a few spots. Wind damage is a good bet in several spots.

Here are your evening tracking tools…

The news round of flooding rains shows up Sunday night into the final day of the year Monday. Heavy rainfall of 1″-3″ will be possible, with the GFS showing a little more than that…

That major rain event also shows up on the European…

Flash flooding, general flooding and river flooding will all be possible during that time period.

Much colder air comes in behind as another low develops across the south. Most models have been showing this south and east of us, but I’ve said to watch for a trend back toward the west. That trend is underway. Here’s the new version of the GFS for Wednesday and Thursday…

The European Model is getting closer…

The European Control has a really potent storm on top of West Virginia with winter weather across much of Kentucky…

Let’s see if those models are onto something or just on something. 🙂

Enjoy the rest of your evening and take care.

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10 Responses to Thursday Evening Update

  1. Mike S says:

    Winds easily gusted between 45 and 55 mph here in Valley Station. These gradient winds persisted in waves for a little over an hour. Things are calming down a little bit. Nearly 6,000 Jefferson County LGE customers without power.
    Just posted this before CB update.

    • Terry says:

      I noticed the rain really hit the gas as it moved through your area. How much did you receive?

      • Mike S says:

        Not quite a half inch.

      • Jimbo says:

        That model for next Thursday looks like a repeat of the Virginia/North Carolina storm from a few weeks ago. And that snow map is too far west, which means another rain event for eastern KY and WV.

        • Terry says:

          I honestly can’t imagine how bad it could get if next week is another heavy rain event beyond Monday’s storm. Current rains is just now getting hard here in Harlan and putting the breaks on. Not much yet but started only 15 minutes ago

    • TennMark says:

      Very gusty from this morning until the heavy rain/thundershowers p-a-s-s-e-d through around late afternoon. There was a bit of a reprieve from the wind after the line went through, but gusts are cranking up again. NWS Nashville reported a 40 mph gust a while ago but I think it’s been a bit higher here at the house. About 0.6 inch in my rain gauge. Just over a thousand customers in Nashville without power, hope we can sweat it out a little longer.

  2. Farmer 43 says:

    I would guess the phantom models are at work again for the possible winter weather next week here today gone tomorrow on one other note 2011 is right now the wettest year on record in Louisville records if you all remember the nasty 2012 drought followed the next year hopefully 2018 isn’t trying to tell me something about 2019

  3. Teacher T says:

    About 10 minutes ago a wind like I have never heard before started blowing in Irvine. It sounds like it’s going to blow the windows of the house out!

  4. Prelude says:

    I think it’s almost safe to say that flooding will be a issue with in the next 4-7 days.

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