Tuesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, folks. It’s another windy and mild ay in the bluegrass state, but things are set to change quickly tonight and Wednesday. That’s when cold air surges in from the northwest, knocking our temps way, way down. That cold air then sets the stage for a weekend winter weather maker for most of our region.

Temps drop tonight through Wednesday and generally hang out around freezing or below.  Gusty winds make it feel a whole lot colder. That cold carries us into Thursday as wind chills drop into the upper single digits to start the day. Ouch!

A few flurries or snow showers will be noted during this time, with a coating or two in the mountains of the east and southeast possible.

The weekend system still has some question marks left to be answered, but a general theme is emerging on a moderate winter weather event for Kentucky. While that’s not set in stone, confidence is high of this storm impacting the weather where you live.

A few thoughts:

  • The storm system is still a few days from even forming, so changes are a good bet.
  • A swath of snow should overspread much of the state Friday night and early Saturday, but a switch to mixed precipitation is possible in the southern half of the state.
  • Several inches of snow will be possible in areas that stay all snow. The reverse is true for areas seeing more of a mixed bag.
  • None of this means you’re getting a big snow outside your house. If you’re adding that to the equation, that’s on you. 🙂

Here’s my “We’re still three days away, but I’m making a risk map anyway” map…

The Greatest Risk area may move south or north over the next few days, depending on exactly how the storm system comes together.

Here’s a quick check of the models…

GFS

Canadian

Notice how Kentucky bridges the gap between higher amounts to our west and to our east. That’s a rather odd look, so we have to be on guard for that bridge to be a little less of a bridge and more of a straight road.

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. Another update will come your way this evening. Make it a good one and take care.


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26 Responses to Tuesday Afternoon Update

  1. Jeff Hamlin says:

    At least we have winter temps coming for sure. 🙂

  2. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. And right now it remains the same…. we will wind up with a cold rain. Oh well. Jeff is right. At lest we will have some winter temps! Have a good afternoon everyone

    • Terry says:

      My thoughts are more geared towards the pattern change. Still not a good looking storm, especially for our region Coffee Lady, but I think we are going in the right direction!

  3. Rodger Dodger says:

    New Euro puts a snow smackdown on much of the region! This is Rodger in Dodger!

  4. Bernard P. Fife says:

    Thelma Lou says you gotta love living in the risk area…no where to go but up for snow lovers.

  5. Russell says:

    Eh…I’m too close to the line again….

  6. Winterlover says:

    Even our mets here in Western,ky is agreeing with Chris which is odd.

  7. Drew says:

    Rodger, do you have a link to the new euro?

  8. JimCVG says:

    “Several inches of snow will be possible in areas that stay all snow.”

    “None of this means you’re getting a big snow outside your house.”

    In my world, several inches is a big snow. These statements don’t jive for me.

  9. Jimbo says:

    Charleston NWS has rain and highs near 40 Saturday and Sunday. Maybe a little snow early Saturday before the wedge takes control and turns it rain.

  10. Lotsasnow says:

    Guys the temps will be around 40 its going to be a sloppy mix looks like central ohio is in the bullseye

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