Good evening, folks. Temps are beginning to drop and will tank in a hurry later tonight into Wednesday. This cold air will settle in for the rest of the week, setting the stage for winter weather by the weekend. The threat for accumulating snow continues to increase for much of the region.

The European Model for the weekend system has much more of a snow signal than earlier runs, but also shows the southern half of the state with some mixing and rain issues on Saturday, before going back to some snow on Sunday. The following maps go from Friday night through Sunday night…

Here’s the snowfall map from that run of the European Model…

Notice how it’s turning the “bridge” into more of a straight road from Missouri to the Mid-Atlantic. The control run of the European Ensembles from WeatherBell is doing the same thing…

The WeatherBell European Ensembles average from 51 different members has a healthy event from west to east…

The latest GFS has a little more mixing in there, cutting down on totals in parts of western and southern Kentucky…

Should we even trust the GFS or any of the American Models? Apparently the government shutdown means there’s no one to maintain or fix any issues the models may have…

That’s interesting and something we will take note of going forward.

I will have the latest on our weekend winter storm potential coming up on WKYT-TV at 11. A full update comes your way later tonight with threat mode looming.

Enjoy the evening and take care.