Tracking Snow To Start Our Saturday

Good Saturday, folks. A round of snow is lifting northward across the state today, bringing accumulations to many areas. This band of snow will soon be replaced by another wave of precipitation that will be in the form of rain and snow later today into tonight.

Before we start things out with your morning tracking toys, here are a few thoughts to begin the day:

  • This band of snow is lifting into northern Kentucky through the morning.
  • Snowfall with goes from very little in the south to higher numbers in the north, especially areas of east-central Kentucky and north.
  • Some snow covered roads are likely early on.
  • As that band lifts our. temps rise above freezing for areas along and south of Interstate 64 by early afternoon.
  • Light rain takes over for the southern half of the state as the next wave moves in later today into tonight. This rain continues for areas south of 64 with rain and snow along the 64 corridor. More snow falls in the north.
  • Where does the evening and overnight band of accumulating snow set up across the northern half of the state? That may be a constant nowcast.
  • Most areas should see whatever is left switching to a little light snow on Sunday.

I will go more in depth on all that with updates later today and talk about a rather extreme winter pattern taking shape for much of the country.

European Model snowfall next 10 days (including today)…

GFS Ensembles for the next 2 weeks…

And the bitter cold coming…

I have you all set to track the early Saturday snows…

 

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

I-75/I-65 Northern Split Lexington

I-75 MP 127
Georgetown

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

I-64 MP 97
Winchester
I-64 WB @ MP 97

Mountain Parkway @ MP 36
Near Pine Ridge

Florence

No image available.

Covington

No image available.

No image available.

Louisville

No image available.

No image available.

No image available.

E-town

No image available.

I-65 MP 36
Near Bowling Green
I-65 MP 36

I-65 @ 234
Near Bowling Green
I-65 @ 234

Natcher Parkway MP 5
Near Bowling Green
Natcher Parkway @ MP 5

US 41A Gate 5 Fort Campbell Entrance
Fort Campbell
US 41A @ Gate 5

I-24  MP 4 @ US 60
Paducah
I-24 @ US 60 MP 4

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
Paducah
I-24 MP 7 @ US62

Stay safe and take care.


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43 Responses to Tracking Snow To Start Our Saturday

  1. Justin says:

    I’d say as of right now, we have a solid 2 inches here in northern Pulaski

  2. Jeff Hamlin says:

    Pretty nice snow in Richmond.

  3. Terry says:

    How did Louville do? Seems like decent radar returns concentrated near Louisville for a good part of the night.

    Still dry in Harlan! Dewpoint actually kept the atmosphere too dry near the surface and ate up the first round, so I want even have to watch the rain ruin it later here in my area! I didn’t expect that much virga.

    • Mike S says:

      I work at the airport. I’d say at least 2″ there when I left. I live about 10 miles southwest of the airport and just measured 2.2″ with a little light freezing rain since my temperature is 32, and has apparently stayed there since midnight according to my weather station.

    • Bjenks says:

      Leaving to plow now. Woke up at 230 to check and it was snowing really good. Up now to go plow my four properties and I would say 2-3 on my deck. North of the River is always the winner.
      This was a MEH storm onto the next one.

      • Which Way Is the Wind Blowing says:

        More of a nuisance than anything else.
        Which is ok with me since I need to run around the city today.

    • TennMark says:

      Mostly virga in Nashville, but some rain mixed with sleet occurred in the hours before midnight.

      I’m married to a snow lover. She’s likely a bit disappointed on this go around. But just maybe the patience of Tennessee winter enthusiasts may be rewarded the next few weeks/months.

      • BlizzardTim says:

        I’d say your right seems like the trend for pattern change will favor us getting snow here in Tennessee

        • Terry says:

          Yeah, we need the subjet to stay active but position much farther SE, just not fully suppressed. We need the jet to run through the northern Gulf States, then through the Carolinas to really slam us more southern folks, especially you south of Knoxville.

          Achieving the right pattern for a lot of snow is hard for SE KY border counties and east TN. I think we score some snow after 20th myself.

  4. Mike S says:

    Someone from Lexington take a look at one of those trimarc cameras labeled I75/I65 Northern split Lexington. I’m sure that is I64 not I65

  5. TennMark says:

    In stark contrast to the current winter conditions, on this very day (January 12) in weather history in 1890 was a significant tornado outbreak. While St Louis and other towns in Missouri were affected, the most violent and deadly tornado that day was an F4 which leveled much of Clinton KY.

    Even though January tornadoes are not unheard of for our area, more violent wintertime tornadoes are fairly rare. Indeed, this F4 at Clinton is one of only two January F4s in Kentucky’s recorded history (no January EF4s in Kentucky have happened to date, the Enhanced Fujita scale replaced the original Fujita scale in 2007). It’s perhaps no big surprise that over the last 130 years or so, the small handful of January/February F4s in Kentucky and Tennessee have occurred in the western areas of both states. The lower elevations near the Mississippi River Valley may provide a bit more wintertime warmth and thus a bit more lift, moisture and instability to fuel any tornadic thunderstorms. Add shear (both speed shear and vertical shear) and you may have a good formula for tornadoes. In this case, January 12 1890 saw tornadic conditions in Missouri and western Kentucky that are much more typical of the spring months .

    For more,
    http://kyweathercenter.com/?p=17151#comment-174614

  6. Jim B says:

    A wet windshield duster just north of the BG

  7. Jared from Letcher County says:

    The thin coating of snow that fell last night has already melted off here.

    • Terry says:

      Not a flake in Harlan. King Virga here, lol. I am not disappointed as we were never the target here.

      I am only tracking this storm for northern KY, and because I am a weather nut which is what I do:)

  8. Jimbo says:

    Nothing so far near Huntington. I know we were in the 1-2 zone, but was that inches or flakes?

    • Terry says:

      King Virga was in both far SE KY and your area. I am sad for you but I had high confidence when I wrote you yesterday morning that you probably wouldn’t get much there….just wish I was wrong for you:(

      I actually think you have a slightly better shot at accumulating snow later this weekend….fingers crossed for you for late tonight and Sunday morning!

      • Jimbo says:

        Thanks for the kind words. I am afraid your area and mine are doomed by the warm wedge. There is only one storm track that can overcome the wedge and put down accumulating snow for us. That storm has to move from Florida Panhandle to Virginia Beach. It used to be the track for the really BIG ones but now it literally is the ONLY track.

  9. feederband says:

    Temps this Thursday through Saturday are forecast in the 50’s. I don’t see the snow chances going up this week. 10 day snow outlook may need revising. Of course things could change in an hour in the Ohio Valley.

  10. BubbaG says:

    Based on the cams, looks like most even more north got the low end of the forecast and borderline freezing temps. Still seems a good shot to get at least one 6 to 8 inch snow this winter. Surely the cold and moisture will meet like chocolate and peanut butter at some point 🙂

  11. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. At our house we have about an inch. Roads are wet but not slick. Our temp is 34. It is very pretty to see, and we were on the slim to none chance so I am pleased to see at least a little bit. Hope everyone has a great day today!

  12. Mike says:

    About 1/2 inch of snow here in my part of Richmond.

    Over the years I have learned that the models are just plain bad for winter forecasting. Being a math and science guy I am still shaking my head around why the models aren’t self correcting. Why each “reality” doesn’t provide feedback to the models’ algorithm and make it better. Perhaps they “save up” the feedback and make sweeping corrections annually or even less often? Having reality provide input into the model doesn’t seem that tough to me. But what do I know?

    • Terry says:

      I agree as we are nearing the year 2020. If we know the EURO is known to consistently hold back too much energy from the SW and GFS almost always NEEDS TO SHIFT NW to be accurate, even at the last minute at times, why not resolve this?

      • Msd says:

        Unfortunately it’s not that simple. These are global models, and small changes to the model will have widespread implications globally. But, the models have been getting better and better, despite some people (not you, Terry) saying ‘I remember the models of 1972 were far superior to this junk’. Nate silver has a nice article on it, a few years ago, but still relevant.

  13. nasdaq says:

    Snow Pack Near ✔

  14. Melva says:

    A very light dusting here in Wayne county, West Virginia. Beautiful frosty morning though.

  15. feederband says:

    I had a uniform 2.5 inches on my deck in Cloverleaf this morning. Melting speeding up now.

  16. Ruth says:

    No snow here in Reedy, WV. We were forecasted by a local met to get at least an inch this morning. It rained for a bit, instead. That was early this morning. No precip for a few hours now.

  17. Winterlover says:

    Got about 2 inches here in Union.co. Not going to stay long rain is moving in this afternoon.

  18. Debbie says:

    Welp, in Bardstown, had we not gotten in on that feisty little banding at the onset, I wouldn’t have awakened to the same thing I saw before I went to bed. lol.

  19. BH says:

    This has been a dud here in Southeast Ohio so far. A little light snow about a quarter of an inch atmost.

  20. Russell says:

    Snow drought continues in WKY as the rain train rolls in with 50s forecast for next week….

  21. Bobt says:

    Looks like the majority of the state is going to make it to the halfway point of meteorogical winter without the first measurable snow. Going to have to be a backloaded winter if anyone is counting on playing in the snow this year. Even if we do get a couple of big snows the majority of the winter looks to be a dud. Rain has been the theme just like the seasons before it

    • Jimbo says:

      I couldn’t agree more. I have received a trace of snow so far and that was in November. I have a long way to go just to get to normal snowfall. But we have a lot company in the snowless department this year, I read where Boston has only received .2 of an inch. I think the only areas above normal are Virginia and North Carolina.

  22. Mike says:

    For what it’s worth, in my part of Richmond we have had perhaps 2 inches of snow, total over two events so far this year.

  23. Jimbo says:

    Looks like a wall of rain is beginning to roll across Kentucky from west to east on radar. Anybody who got a small accumulation better enjoy it fast.

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