Good afternoon, everyone. Drip, Drip, Drip… That’s what many folks are hearing as the overnight nightfall melts away as temps climb. Now comes the rain for many areas, with the snow potential confined to northern parts of the state, before a lighter brand of snow shows up area-wide late Sunday and Sunday night.

I’ll also talk about the potential for an extreme winter pattern engulfing much of the country.

This is another blowout post, so buckle up.

Let’s begin with our Saturday. The overnight and early morning snow had some winners and some losers. The dry air held tight in northeastern Kentucky, leading to wimpier snows that I thought. Much of the rest of the region played out in decent enough shape.

As mentioned, the snow continues to lift north and hangs around this region into the rest of the afternoon. This is the region still seeing Winter Weather Alerts…

Rain develops for much of the state this afternoon and continues through tonight, with the snow line in the north. How far south that snow line gets is still in question. The NAM brings it farther south than the GFS. Here are the snow maps from late afternoon through Sunday morning…

NAM

GFS

As that pulls away, one small disturbance is leftover for late Sunday into Monday morning. This will be a light mix and light snow maker than can put down light accumulations across, especially southeastern Kentucky…

Temps rebound quickly by the middle of the week before another system moves in with rain by Friday. That takes us into next weekend and another potent setup. The European Model presses arctic air in here with a storm system developing along the boundary…

That’s a snow signal from the lower Mississippi Valley through our region and into the Mid-Atlantic.

The Canadian has a similar look…

The new version of the GFS is also similar but has two storms…

The GFS has the same look, but is, predictably, farther east…

The model does follow that up with another potent storm that unleashes brutal cold on the country…

The funny thing is… Something like that is totally plausible in the pattern taking shape. It’s uncanny how this is evolving in relation to the winter forecast and my analog years.

You’re really going to be hard pressed to ever find a colder look on the Ensembles than what they’re giving us over the next few weeks…

This is a pattern locking in for a prolonged stretch of harsh winter weather for much of the country.  Terms like “polar vortex” and “snowmageddon” will likely be thrown around by national media over the next 6 weeks or so. Book it. 😉

Another update comes your way this evening. Until then, I leave you with your Saturday afternoon tracking tools…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

I-75/I-65 Northern Split Lexington

I-75 MP 127
Georgetown

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

I-64 MP 97
Winchester
I-64 WB @ MP 97

Florence

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Covington

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Louisville

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Have a good one and take care.