Good Monday, everyone. The weekend winter storm that cut across the Ohio Valley is just the beginning of what is likely to become a very harsh winter pattern for much of the country. It’s a setup that is locking in for the long haul and it has a rather extreme look to it.

Let us begin with today and roll things forward. Low-level moisture is hanging tough and that means a few periods of light snow and flurries, especially central and eastern Kentucky. Patchy freezing drizzle is also possible and all this may cause some slick spots on area roads. Here’s regional radar, but much of this may not even show up on radars…

This low level moisture likely takes us into Tuesday with a few more flakes potentially flying around. That’s followed by a weak boundary dropping in from the northwest on Wednesday. This may have a mix of snow showers, rain showers and freezing drizzle with it…

Another system then rolls in from the west on Thursday, likely bringing a cold rain with it, but it may be a close call with a little frozen precipitation…

The ability of this system to pull down cold air behind it will be a big determining factor as to what happens with our weekend winter storm potential.

Winter weather lovers want that system to pull the boundary farther south into our region so the next storm follows along that front as it sags southeast.

This is exactly what the GFS shows

Obviously, that’s a big hitter in our region as arctic air surges in. If there’s snow or ice on the ground, it gets beyond frigid…

The new version of the GFS brings one low across Kentucky with a lot of rain and freezing rain, then brings a second low with snow. Bitter cold follows…

The Icon offers up a similar setup to the regular GFS…

The European Model has a ton of rain to a ton of freezing rain then some snow…

The Canadian Model is very weak with the Thursday system and it shows with how it handles the weekend storm. Notice the big differences from all the other models…

At this point, all precipitation options are on the table for the weekend. Heavy rain, sleet, freezing rain and snow or a combo of the 4. Once again, that’s about as much as I can tell you guys at this point.

I have a 4 day weekend away from work so I will throw random updates your way later today. Make it a good one and take care.