Good afternoon, folks. It’s a cold day across the bluegrass state as a few flakes fly from time to time. This same setup is with us for the next couple of days before we focus on two systems later this week into the weekend. The weekend system is likely to be a winter storm, bringing lots of different precipitation types to the state.

As mentioned, flakes will fly on and off through Wednesday. A touch of freezing drizzle may also show up during this time. Some light accumulations of both are possible.

The Thursday and early Friday system will zip right across the state from west to east. This will bring mainly rain with it, but some frozen stuff may show up at the state and the end…

How far south does the boundary behind that set up? That’s the big question over the next few days because the weekend winter storm is going to ride that boundary. The models go back and forth on the exact placement of the front and subsequent storm track.

Regardless, this storm is going to produce a lot of precipitation in our region. Anything from flooding rains to significant snow and ice, or all three, are possible Saturday and Sunday. It’s simply way too early to get more specific than that.

The latest GFS has a lot of rain and snow…

The Canadian Model is finally seeing the system in front of it better, so it’s slowly going toward what the GFS and European Models have been showing…

Given the arctic high pressure to the north and the amount of deep cold it’s bringing, a storm cutting through the Ohio Valley into the Great Lakes does not seem like a very likely option. A more likely option is a low working toward southeastern Kentucky with another low popping to the east.

I will have updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.