Good afternoon, folks. It’s ANOTHER cold and dreary day with a few rain and snow showers floating about the area. From here, we have system moving through on Thursday, with a much bigger system on track for the weekend. That one is likely to cause some problems in our region.

First things first, let’s track today’s light rain and snow showers…

Low pressure works into the region on Thursday and is mainly a light rain maker, but a period of light snow is possible at the start. The best chance of seeing this is in the north and northeast…

GFS

NAM

If it does snow in those areas, it should be light and then move away pretty quickly as light rain takes over.

My view on the weekend system really hasn’t changed much at all. It’s a setup that should deliver all modes of precipitation to the bluegrass state. Saturday brings heavy rain with the potential for flooding. Temps crash Saturday evening with rain changing to a period of freezing rain and sleet, then snow. Snow showers and squalls would then carry us through Sunday afternoon.

Here’s the latest GFS starting at 7pm Saturday and going through Sunday afternoon…

The new version of the GFS is similar…

Let’s rank the weekend based on greatest impact potential:

  • Flooding and flash flooding. A general 2″-3″ of rain may fall on Saturday.
  • A flash freeze Saturday evening into Saturday night. A lot of standing water combining with temps dropping through the 20s and into the teens is not a good combo. Things ice up quickly.
  • Accumulating snow. A period of snow Saturday night will be followed by snow showers and squalls Sunday. There are a lot of variables at play in terms of how much snow falls where you live.
  • Freezing rain. A period of freezing is possible Saturday night as we make the transition from rain to snow. Again, there are a lot of variables at play for how much of this we get in on.

I’m back on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and will have the latest then. I will also have another update here later this evening.

Have a good one and take care.