Good evening, friends. It’s full steam ahead toward another fun weather day across the bluegrass state. It’s one that will take us on a similar ride to what happened Saturday, but shouldn’t be to that extreme. From there, a lot of winter weather shows up.
Let’s begin with Wednesday through Thursday morning system:
- Rain moves in from west to east late tonight into early Wednesday. This is along and ahead of our cold front moving in.
- Temps ahead of this front will reach the 50s across central and eastern Kentucky. Temps behind this crash through the 30s and into the 20s. That crash happens very quickly.
- A period of mix to snow is likely as the cold hooks up with the back edge of the precipitation shield. With a wave of low pressure developing along this, the best snow potential is across the eastern half of the state.
- Light accumulations are a good bet, with some pockets of higher totals showing up. This will be pretty slushy.
- As temps drop, expect another flash freeze into the wee hours of Thursday morning. Delays and cancellations are very possible.
The Weather Prediction Center has much of central and eastern Kentucky in their low risk for 4″+ snows Wednesday night…
I can see that, but I’m gonna take the under…
The NAM has the over…
The Hi Res NAM
The GFS has a few spots approaching the 4″ plateau…
The Euro has a more consistent view…
Behind that, an arctic front arrives with snow showers Thursday evening into Thursday night. Lows may reach the single digits Friday morning with wind chills going below zero at times.
The pattern is loaded with systems this weekend into next week. Here’s the GFS with those…
I’ve talked about how a couple of these systems can blow up into something much bigger. You can see that on the GFS and on the European Model. Here’s the Monday night and Tuesday system…
Bitterly cold temps show up on the model behind that…
A few days later, we do it all over again…
Winter weather lovers should be smiling! 🙂
I will have an update on WKYT-TV at 11 and with my normal late night update. Have a wonderful evening and take care.
Thanks Chris. It s beginning to look a lot like winter! And if we can get some good snow out of some of them ( one or two anyway) I will be one very happy weather weenie! 🙂 Have a good evening and now to important stuff….GO CATS!
Other than the Nam, the GFS, Canadian and Euro have been fairly cosistent with a few inches now in about the same locations since Sunday!
GFS has taken a lot of hate lately, but other than the NW shift and inconsistency in precip amount several days out, IMO, I think the model has done well within 48 hours! Actually, the GFS seems closer to reality within the crunch time period this winter, not perfect but better than the others overall.
Right now, I dont like seeing Bell and Harlan consistently on the lower end of these model runs totals either but that may very well happen and is close to Chris’s first call lines too:(…stupid warm air hangs tough down here. Watch that trend Troy….hope we overachieve and not end up the only areas of the state still starved out!
Chris, I appreciate the updates very much but I do have a question…when the heck do you sleep? You always look good on TV, never tired or sleepy.. How do you do it? #lovesnow #beenwithkyweathercentersincebeginning
To me as a winter weather lover I’m still not impressed with the pattern we can’t put together any staying power of the cold weather yes it’s a different pattern than December but just think Saturday we were in 50s Sunday and Monday we’re cold but today back in 40 s tomorrow 50s and moisture behind a front is never to impressive unless it stalls out truthfully sat night was a pretty big disappointment a lot of bark not much bite and as of right now would anybody remember the winter of 18 19 few years from now unless something changes between now and spring only thing we’ll remember is the ice we had in November and by the way I’ve lived in nw Kentucky my whole life what happened to the days of on and off snow showers we use to get in the winter we don’t hardly get them anymore supposedly at one time last Sunday was supposed to be one of those and it was sunny
My thoughts exactly. I live in western WV and I have received a grand total of 2.1 inches of snow thus far. These northwest flow systems have been very weak for several years now. I will hope for 3 inches at my home but expect to get closer to 1 inch.
The Cincy Fox station is saying nothing to worry about. What model are they forcasting with? Crazy!
They forecast for our counties along the river. I guess they forgot about us to the East! lol
This weather weenie is grin’n like a ‘possum! LOL! 😛
TC @ WSAZ forecasts a coating at best
I be surprised if any one location gets more than an inch. This is a typical cold playing catch-up with precipitation and the time it does….. Well most know the end result
Based on experience – the under is always the bet.
Dear snowstorm, please make a strong appearance in the Ohio Valley in the next two weeks. Your fans would enjoy at least 10-12”. Some have said they would like a repeat of a 1994 storm, or 1978. We will give you your choice on that one. #snowfansunite
Send something to us in SE KY besides rain for sure. It is basically a miracle we went a year straight with this much rain and no major flooding!
Terry, so very true. I’m so tired of all this rain. That seems as if that’s the only thing it wants to do anymore…rain rain rain!!! Ugh!!!
Gonna be flurried to death for a week or so, and of course cold rain, which remains the main act in town
Local mets here near huntington Ashland area giving a coating. They’ve been mostly right so far about our weather, surprisingly.
Hopefully Mr Bailey is right about some overachievers but systems going northwest to southeast rarely do. Maybe one of the taps some gulf moisture. Rodger’s not confident any of us will see any major snow. Rodger in Dodger
Maybe 5 inches for the winter period in Frankfort, not to far from normal, hang on folks it only takes one good storm to change everything.
Stay positive :}