Good Saturday and welcome to the weekend. We have a few rounds of light snow and flurries rolling across the bluegrass state over the next few days. A few areas may pick up light accumulations, but the focus quickly turns to the harsh weather coming for next week.
The periods of flakes today and Sunday can lay down light totals, especially in the north. This could be enough to slicken up a few roadways, so keep that in mind if you’re traveling. I will have your tracking tools in a bit.
The arctic front arriving late Monday into Tuesday continues to be on course to bring snow and bitterly cold air our way. How much snow depends on a wave of low pressure developing along the front and slowing it down. That’s a very plausible scenario, especially with a storm ahead of it forming off the east coast. The stronger that storm, the slower the front in our region, allowing for a wave to develop along it.
The NAM only goes through Monday night, but is showing this scenario…
Notice the negative tilt on the trough for Monday night…
That’s the key to this whole thing, you want that trough to be leaning back as opposed to leaning forward. If that trough is positively tilted, you only get a band of snow right behind the front.
The European Model continues to like the wave idea the NAM is showing..
The Canadian is singing a similar tune. Also, watch the system developing behind that…
The GFS is always the most progressive of all the models and it’s no different this go around…
Bitterly cold temps crash in behind this system, with the absolute brutal stuff staying just north. If we can get a flatter looking polar vortex, it would allow west-east moving snow makers to cut underneath it across our region later next week.
I will have updates later today. Until then, here are your tracking tools…
Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio Lexington
I-75 @ Newtown Pike Lexington
I-75 MP 127 Georgetown
I-64 at KY-801 Near Morehead
I-64 MP 97 Winchester
Mountain Parkway near Slade
Florence
Covington
Louisville
E-town
Make it a good one and take care.
73 Comments
Which Way Is the Wind Blowing on January 26, 2019 at 7:27 am
This is the result of not being discipline as a child. Referring to Jeff Kidd and of course Ralphie.
Jeff Kidd on January 26, 2019 at 3:56 pm
Thanks
BubbaG on January 26, 2019 at 8:10 am
Shock! The Euro isn’t showing big snow for Tuesday, like it did last night, who’d of thunk it? 😉
Troy on January 26, 2019 at 8:41 am
lol. Well, anyone who bought into a single model run (especially the Euro this year) will get the disappointment they deserve.
Cold-Rain on January 26, 2019 at 8:15 am
Here’s last nights Euro’s run..EKY still in the game. https://i.ibb.co/SQMsXQv/126eu.png Comparing it to yesterdays run that Chris posted you can see the snow shifted East..Guessing the low developed farther East..Probably not a good sign..
Terry on January 26, 2019 at 8:31 am
This is one of the rare or maybe THE ONLY time I have hated winter. Nothing is working like I had expected and doesn’t look great next week, but next week is still better than season-to-date opportunity for snow.
I am ready to push NEXT myself. I am usually not this negative but it has been a joke of a winter compared to what looked at a promising one. YES, IT NEVER STAYS COLD, SNOWY CONSTANTLY in KY but about every met had more cold and snow predicted season-to-date in our region than what has occurred, especially targeting SE KY with above average snowfall due to weak El Nino and blocking pattern. I see the same stupid pattern trying to take back over less than 10 days out which could ruin what everyone predicted February to be the golden month for snow and cold.
Maybe we can at least whiten the ground good one time next week before the wicked rainy pattern sets up sgsin.
Sorry for the ridiculous, bratty baby rant but I am simply water logged and fed up with cold-rain…..not a dig at your name I promise:)
Cold-Rain on January 26, 2019 at 8:46 am
Yea..Got a feeling and just looking at the long range if we don’t score in these cold shots it may be our last chance..Ready to get up from the table and cash in..Oh wait,I have nothing to cash in..lol
Terry on January 26, 2019 at 9:00 am
Cash in the pennies:)
We could still get one good hit later in February or March which could skew the numbers closer to what was previously predicted for seasonal snowfall (I will still enjoy the snow if it happens), but IMO, one storm will not be enough to forgive as it it the actual entire winter that needs graded and I AM FAILING! Yes, I am not a certified meteorologist, but I have honestly never been further off from WHAT I THOUGHT would happen than reality so far this winter!
Prelude on January 26, 2019 at 9:04 am
No need to worry from the months of late May through early September you’ll find that forecasting is a whole lot easier. HHH Hazy Hot Humid.
Bobt on January 26, 2019 at 9:43 am
I would take a hot and humid period this summer. Would beat the daily rain that we had last summer. Need some real pool weather like summer is supposed to provide.
Schroeder on January 26, 2019 at 12:41 pm
That only happens in the river bottoms. Not at my place because of elevation.
Cold-Rain on January 26, 2019 at 9:53 am
All it takes is one big snow like April 2-5 1987 and we will forget what a miserable winter it has been so far..My favorite snow of all time..
Terry on January 26, 2019 at 10:06 am
I really dont remember it, I was only 4, but saw the old wymt footage, researched it and have suffered through hearing the older generation say, “We get our biggest snows in April”…lol
It was impressive though with the valley in Harlan reporting over 20 inches and higher elevations near 39 inches.
Only problem, April big snows look like a once in 50 year or even less frequent type of events!
Terry on January 26, 2019 at 10:07 am
Meant to say higher elevations around 30 inches
BubbaG on January 26, 2019 at 9:40 am
Starting to doubt my one 6 to 8” snow prediction for this winter…. Maybe I’ll move the goalpost and that’s total snow for the winter. Looking like that might be more accurate 😉
The epicly big December miss is turning out to be a harbinger of things not to come.
Jeff Hamlin on January 26, 2019 at 2:47 pm
I bet you are wrong.
Which Way Is the Wind Blowing on January 26, 2019 at 9:41 am
The 12z NAM is running at this moment, it still has the front slowing down. This model run is all we have to cling to today.
BubbaG on January 26, 2019 at 11:57 am
Even the cherries to pick are sour.
Coffeelady on January 26, 2019 at 8:30 am
Thanks Chris. Woke up to a little skiff of snow outside with our streets covered this morning. Pretty and still have some flurries flying. Kind of warmed up overnight as it was 22 when I went to bed and is now 27 this morning. Wasn’t expecting to see anything here this morning. As for the first of the week system, guess we’ll see. Have a great Saturday all and GO CATS!
Jim B on January 26, 2019 at 10:05 am
“Guess we’ll see” should be every mets catch phrase this winter, Coffeelady. Haha, ignore models, especially more than a day out, and just say “Guess we’ll see”
Schroeder on January 26, 2019 at 1:01 pm
I agree with the Coffeelady. She wrote a beautiful post yesterday. The best I’ve seen on this forum. All weather models are put together by personnel that know absolutely nothing about what is going on in our world’s atmosphere. What’s not right about this, they are being payed for being wrong. I’ll take the weather forcasting techniques of the late great Marcia Yockey. A real meteorologist not a weather model reader.
I’d be very happy with a fluffy 2 inch snowfall. That’s plenty.
feederband on January 26, 2019 at 9:49 am
Big flakes falling in LouMetro now. Local met said it was all out of here earlier. Wow.
Coreyfromtheky on January 26, 2019 at 10:16 am
Pouring the snow in greenup
Melva on January 26, 2019 at 10:53 am
I suppose Huntington Ashland areas will see nothing but some light flurries, maybe a dusting from this system, with some cold showing up.
Drew on January 26, 2019 at 11:15 am
Is the Tuesday system trending east of Kentucky or am I the only one seeing that?
SkiWi on January 26, 2019 at 11:39 am
Just East, just north, or just south. But if it was rain it would be heading straight on.
Formerly from KY on January 26, 2019 at 11:34 am
The 12z run of the Canadian and gfs are still fast and just a quick hitting storm.
Troy on January 26, 2019 at 11:44 am
By the time the system arrives, it will very likely be a mere dusting in KY as per usual. This was never going to be a big snow maker but many put too much faith in the model runs which made it appear as so.
Prelude on January 26, 2019 at 12:12 pm
Oh I completely disagree not many put any faith in the models.
Formerly from KY on January 26, 2019 at 12:17 pm
Also it seems as the days have gone by the cold temps that been advertised are getting warmer even where I live we’ve gone from single digits for Wednesday and Thursday to low teens now.
Schroeder on January 26, 2019 at 12:31 pm
Calm down Terry. I promise, you will see a major snow again. For me I think my last one was the snowstorm on the twenty third of December 2004 when we got twenty two inches for Christmas in Evansville, Indiana. It was beautiful !!!
Rodger Dodger on January 26, 2019 at 1:05 pm
Rodger was in Owensboro for that Dec 2004 20+ inch snow. Rodger’s driveway was waste deep with the blowing and drifting. Very likely a once in a lifetime snow that was very poorly predicted too. Rodger in Dodger
Terry on January 26, 2019 at 1:46 pm
The 93 blizzard was probably one of the better biggies ever predicted and it still WAY OVER-ACHIEVED with me people simply not believing it would happen. It was like 75 degrees all week before the storm. I was 10 years old when that Super Beast hit! This is by far my favorite storm and I have nothing to compare it to but the 1994 ice and wet snow storm was a close second in SE KY!
TennMark on January 26, 2019 at 4:22 pm
I was about 9 years old living in Morristown TN during the 93 blizzard. By far the most impressive winter storm I’ve been through even if despite a brief cold spell afterwards all that m-a-s-s of snow melted relatively quickly. Perhaps the time I first learned about weather models and how the models at the time sniffed out this beast of a storm early on.
Jim B on January 26, 2019 at 12:32 pm
Gonna be a miss
Schroeder on January 26, 2019 at 12:37 pm
The Ventusky site will show you why we are having such a benign winter this year. The westerlies are high, and as a result all the storms are weak and fast moving.
BengalFan on January 26, 2019 at 12:55 pm
I don’t believe all the rain storms have been weak!!!!
Schroeder on January 26, 2019 at 1:15 pm
Yes, they have been here lately. Go outside and feel how much drier the air is. With this pattern change the Gulf is currently cut off by the westerlies aloft which means no big time storms just shots of shallow cold air with weak clippers.
Jimbo on January 26, 2019 at 1:06 pm
I had an unexpected little sugar coating of snow this morning. Good thing I was up to see it. Otherwise, you wouldn’t know it. By 11am it was gone even though it is still cloudy and 29 degrees. I said unexpected because the locals said the dry air would wipe out the flakes today. The tri-state locals aren’t impressed with next weeks snow either. Predicting another dusting and temps are trending higher but still cold.
Rodger Dodger on January 26, 2019 at 1:06 pm
Rodger says the cold will happen. The now will underperform – as usual. What a disappointing winter. Rodger in Dodger
Jeff Hamlin on January 26, 2019 at 2:49 pm
I’ll stick with Chris
Marsha on January 26, 2019 at 1:19 pm
Good lord you people kill me
Schroeder on January 26, 2019 at 1:36 pm
It’s all just ” Kentucky Windage ” lighten up.
Jeff Kidd on January 26, 2019 at 3:58 pm
Thanks
Schroeder on January 26, 2019 at 1:21 pm
I think this is the anniversary of the great blizzard of 1978. WOW, what a Storm. One I will never forget !
Debbie on January 26, 2019 at 1:36 pm
You are correct. It’s also the 10th. anniversary of the big Ice Storm. My neighbor and I were just both talking about it this morning. How we didn’t lose power during the ice storm, at least on our street which was highly unusual because of the big trees near the main transformer which was right behind our houses. Only thing we lost was cable tv, and would’ve had that back on sooner than 11 days if the idiot elec. crews would have listened when I told them that “No..that is NOT our neighbors’ PHONE line in my backyard”! lol. When all the ice started to melt, I broke my collarbone when I stepped in my dogs’ muddy paw prints when they came back inside one evening. Too bad we don’t get more winter storms like we did way back when. Not ice, but big snows!
TennMark on January 26, 2019 at 4:08 pm
I was living in Evansville IN for the 2009 ice storm. I briefly lost power but otherwise that’s about it. It was still a mess around Evansville. But later as I drove south to visit relatives I saw how really bad it was. The tree damage around Madisonville KY was astounding.
I wasn’t born until well after the 78 blizzard, but have read much about that winter in general from the northeast to Ohio/Tennessee Valley to Texas, wow!
Jeff Kidd on January 26, 2019 at 3:58 pm
Thanks
Drew on January 26, 2019 at 1:46 pm
Eastern Ky looks to still have a chance at a couple inches anyway. Am I wrong?
Terry on January 26, 2019 at 2:01 pm
I think we do area-wide on the 1 to 3 scale. Obviously, it doesn’t look like a major event but if we can just cover the ground (areawide with no one regionally left out), I will be happy. Of course the roads will be treacherous if it is even a few inches areawide as this is rainy mix quickly freezing up with arctic air.
If perhaps I overachieve and ended up with 3 or more, I want complain on here about this lousy winter for at least a few weeks…lol…my golden commitment:)
Drew on January 26, 2019 at 2:35 pm
Thanks terry.. any chance this thing keeps trending east and misses all of us in ky?
Terry on January 26, 2019 at 2:45 pm
Probably not going to miss us as this arctic front should tap some moisture before hitting us. What we need though is a low to form along the front and the models are trending the “better” snow in the mid-Atlantic and New England as that is were the new low may form. Fingers crossed we get more than 3 inches in far eastern KY but I don’t want to overexcite you or anyone else just yet!
nasdaq on January 26, 2019 at 2:15 pm
Although its looking rough and models have down poorly with totals in this area all winter, That would still be the biggest snow of the season here in Whitley…
Terry on January 26, 2019 at 2:20 pm
See my commitment to Drew. I am hoping for at least 3 inches or more but will settle for a widespread 1 to 3.
nice, hopefully things start to trend that in our favor. WPC likes our chances
Andy Rose on January 26, 2019 at 4:12 pm
That didn’t work out well Wednesday
nasdaq on January 26, 2019 at 4:14 pm
or really previously, but its all we got
msd on January 26, 2019 at 3:44 pm
The latest NAM amped up. This is brutally cold air and the ten to one ratios won’t hold. Hopefully totals can be pinned by tomorrow evening’s run.
Drew on January 26, 2019 at 4:14 pm
What do you mean by the 10:1 ratios? I love learning on this blog. Care to elaborate?
Terry on January 26, 2019 at 4:47 pm
Water expands when it freezes: In essence THE AVERAGE amount that 1 inch of rain produces is equal to 10 inches of snow. However, when it gets very cold, water expands more (fluffy snow) than it had a chance to expand when around freezing or warmer (wet snow). So, very cold air could increase the ratio of 1 inch of rain to well over 10 up to a rare 20 inches of snow. On the other hand, very borderline temps where the rain doesn’t have enough time to fully form ice crystals (wet snow), the ratio can be even lower than 10:1 and rarely about 5:1 or 1 inch of rain yields only 5 inches of very heavy wet snow!
Debbie on January 26, 2019 at 4:48 pm
On the average, twn inches of snow melts down to about one inch of water, but it varies from storm to storm. Snow that falls during really low air temps like we will experience is much fluffier(less dense & wet)than what would fall, at say, 30-33°. So basically, in the more powdery snow, you would get higher snow depth because the ratios would be higher.(ex: 25:1 would mean 25 inches of drier, fluffier snow that would melt down to an inch of liquid….)
Crystal In Pikeville on January 26, 2019 at 4:07 pm
Talking about remembering big snows,does anyone remember what year it was we got covered up in eastern ky I mean drifts like u had never seen in years we got a good one anyone remember?? I am so thankful for our workers that keep our electricity on last night at 3am ours went off by 6am the wonderful man had it restored so thankful we piled on the blankets lol!!! Stay warm everyone check on your neighbors and pets this week!!!
snow princess on January 26, 2019 at 4:08 pm
No updates or tweets about the models today?? Umm, I think that means nothing to see here, folks! Move along! 😀
I hope the NAM pans out.
Twenty five degrees with a good dusting of snow.
Thanks
This is the result of not being discipline as a child. Referring to Jeff Kidd and of course Ralphie.
Thanks
Shock! The Euro isn’t showing big snow for Tuesday, like it did last night, who’d of thunk it? 😉
lol. Well, anyone who bought into a single model run (especially the Euro this year) will get the disappointment they deserve.
Here’s last nights Euro’s run..EKY still in the game.
https://i.ibb.co/SQMsXQv/126eu.png
Comparing it to yesterdays run that Chris posted you can see the snow shifted East..Guessing the low developed farther East..Probably not a good sign..
This is one of the rare or maybe THE ONLY time I have hated winter. Nothing is working like I had expected and doesn’t look great next week, but next week is still better than season-to-date opportunity for snow.
I am ready to push NEXT myself. I am usually not this negative but it has been a joke of a winter compared to what looked at a promising one. YES, IT NEVER STAYS COLD, SNOWY CONSTANTLY in KY but about every met had more cold and snow predicted season-to-date in our region than what has occurred, especially targeting SE KY with above average snowfall due to weak El Nino and blocking pattern. I see the same stupid pattern trying to take back over less than 10 days out which could ruin what everyone predicted February to be the golden month for snow and cold.
Maybe we can at least whiten the ground good one time next week before the wicked rainy pattern sets up sgsin.
Sorry for the ridiculous, bratty baby rant but I am simply water logged and fed up with cold-rain…..not a dig at your name I promise:)
Yea..Got a feeling and just looking at the long range if we don’t score in these cold shots it may be our last chance..Ready to get up from the table and cash in..Oh wait,I have nothing to cash in..lol
Cash in the pennies:)
We could still get one good hit later in February or March which could skew the numbers closer to what was previously predicted for seasonal snowfall (I will still enjoy the snow if it happens), but IMO, one storm will not be enough to forgive as it it the actual entire winter that needs graded and I AM FAILING! Yes, I am not a certified meteorologist, but I have honestly never been further off from WHAT I THOUGHT would happen than reality so far this winter!
No need to worry from the months of late May through early September you’ll find that forecasting is a whole lot easier. HHH Hazy Hot Humid.
I would take a hot and humid period this summer. Would beat the daily rain that we had last summer. Need some real pool weather like summer is supposed to provide.
That only happens in the river bottoms. Not at my place because of elevation.
All it takes is one big snow like April 2-5 1987 and we will forget what a miserable winter it has been so far..My favorite snow of all time..
I really dont remember it, I was only 4, but saw the old wymt footage, researched it and have suffered through hearing the older generation say, “We get our biggest snows in April”…lol
It was impressive though with the valley in Harlan reporting over 20 inches and higher elevations near 39 inches.
Only problem, April big snows look like a once in 50 year or even less frequent type of events!
Meant to say higher elevations around 30 inches
Starting to doubt my one 6 to 8” snow prediction for this winter…. Maybe I’ll move the goalpost and that’s total snow for the winter. Looking like that might be more accurate 😉
The epicly big December miss is turning out to be a harbinger of things not to come.
I bet you are wrong.
The 12z NAM is running at this moment, it still has the front slowing down.
This model run is all we have to cling to today.
Even the cherries to pick are sour.
Thanks Chris. Woke up to a little skiff of snow outside with our streets covered this morning. Pretty and still have some flurries flying. Kind of warmed up overnight as it was 22 when I went to bed and is now 27 this morning. Wasn’t expecting to see anything here this morning. As for the first of the week system, guess we’ll see. Have a great Saturday all and GO CATS!
“Guess we’ll see” should be every mets catch phrase this winter, Coffeelady. Haha, ignore models, especially more than a day out, and just say “Guess we’ll see”
I agree with the Coffeelady. She wrote a beautiful post yesterday. The best I’ve seen on this forum. All weather models are put together by personnel that know absolutely nothing about what is going on in our world’s atmosphere. What’s not right about this, they are being payed for being wrong. I’ll take the weather forcasting techniques of the late great Marcia Yockey. A real meteorologist not a weather model reader.
Thanks
My thoughts exactly Terry!
I’d be very happy with a fluffy 2 inch snowfall. That’s plenty.
Big flakes falling in LouMetro now. Local met said it was all out of here earlier. Wow.
Pouring the snow in greenup
I suppose Huntington Ashland areas will see nothing but some light flurries, maybe a dusting from this system, with some cold showing up.
Is the Tuesday system trending east of Kentucky or am I the only one seeing that?
Just East, just north, or just south. But if it was rain it would be heading straight on.
The 12z run of the Canadian and gfs are still fast and just a quick hitting storm.
By the time the system arrives, it will very likely be a mere dusting in KY as per usual. This was never going to be a big snow maker but many put too much faith in the model runs which made it appear as so.
Oh I completely disagree not many put any faith in the models.
Also it seems as the days have gone by the cold temps that been advertised are getting warmer even where I live we’ve gone from single digits for Wednesday and Thursday to low teens now.
Calm down Terry. I promise, you will see a major snow again. For me I think my last one was the snowstorm on the twenty third of December 2004 when we got twenty two inches for Christmas in Evansville, Indiana. It was beautiful !!!
Rodger was in Owensboro for that Dec 2004 20+ inch snow. Rodger’s driveway was waste deep with the blowing and drifting. Very likely a once in a lifetime snow that was very poorly predicted too. Rodger in Dodger
The 93 blizzard was probably one of the better biggies ever predicted and it still WAY OVER-ACHIEVED with me people simply not believing it would happen. It was like 75 degrees all week before the storm. I was 10 years old when that Super Beast hit! This is by far my favorite storm and I have nothing to compare it to but the 1994 ice and wet snow storm was a close second in SE KY!
I was about 9 years old living in Morristown TN during the 93 blizzard. By far the most impressive winter storm I’ve been through even if despite a brief cold spell afterwards all that m-a-s-s of snow melted relatively quickly. Perhaps the time I first learned about weather models and how the models at the time sniffed out this beast of a storm early on.
Gonna be a miss
The Ventusky site will show you why we are having such a benign winter this year. The westerlies are high, and as a result all the storms are weak and fast moving.
I don’t believe all the rain storms have been weak!!!!
Yes, they have been here lately. Go outside and feel how much drier the air is. With this pattern change the Gulf is currently cut off by the westerlies aloft which means no big time storms just shots of shallow cold air with weak clippers.
I had an unexpected little sugar coating of snow this morning. Good thing I was up to see it. Otherwise, you wouldn’t know it. By 11am it was gone even though it is still cloudy and 29 degrees. I said unexpected because the locals said the dry air would wipe out the flakes today. The tri-state locals aren’t impressed with next weeks snow either. Predicting another dusting and temps are trending higher but still cold.
Rodger says the cold will happen. The now will underperform – as usual. What a disappointing winter. Rodger in Dodger
I’ll stick with Chris
Good lord you people kill me
It’s all just ” Kentucky Windage ” lighten up.
Thanks
I think this is the anniversary of the great blizzard of 1978. WOW, what a Storm. One I will never forget !
You are correct. It’s also the 10th. anniversary of the big Ice Storm. My neighbor and I were just both talking about it this morning. How we didn’t lose power during the ice storm, at least on our street which was highly unusual because of the big trees near the main transformer which was right behind our houses. Only thing we lost was cable tv, and would’ve had that back on sooner than 11 days if the idiot elec. crews would have listened when I told them that “No..that is NOT our neighbors’ PHONE line in my backyard”! lol. When all the ice started to melt, I broke my collarbone when I stepped in my dogs’ muddy paw prints when they came back inside one evening. Too bad we don’t get more winter storms like we did way back when. Not ice, but big snows!
I was living in Evansville IN for the 2009 ice storm. I briefly lost power but otherwise that’s about it. It was still a mess around Evansville. But later as I drove south to visit relatives I saw how really bad it was. The tree damage around Madisonville KY was astounding.
I wasn’t born until well after the 78 blizzard, but have read much about that winter in general from the northeast to Ohio/Tennessee Valley to Texas, wow!
Thanks
Eastern Ky looks to still have a chance at a couple inches anyway. Am I wrong?
I think we do area-wide on the 1 to 3 scale. Obviously, it doesn’t look like a major event but if we can just cover the ground (areawide with no one regionally left out), I will be happy. Of course the roads will be treacherous if it is even a few inches areawide as this is rainy mix quickly freezing up with arctic air.
If perhaps I overachieve and ended up with 3 or more, I want complain on here about this lousy winter for at least a few weeks…lol…my golden commitment:)
Thanks terry.. any chance this thing keeps trending east and misses all of us in ky?
Probably not going to miss us as this arctic front should tap some moisture before hitting us. What we need though is a low to form along the front and the models are trending the “better” snow in the mid-Atlantic and New England as that is were the new low may form. Fingers crossed we get more than 3 inches in far eastern KY but I don’t want to overexcite you or anyone else just yet!
Although its looking rough and models have down poorly with totals in this area all winter, That would still be the biggest snow of the season here in Whitley…
See my commitment to Drew. I am hoping for at least 3 inches or more but will settle for a widespread 1 to 3.
WPC https://twitter.com/NWSWPC/status/1089260772939784192
New Nam puts down 3 – 4 inches area wide. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2019012618/namconus_asnow_neus_27.png
nice, hopefully things start to trend that in our favor. WPC likes our chances
That didn’t work out well Wednesday
or really previously, but its all we got
The latest NAM amped up. This is brutally cold air and the ten to one ratios won’t hold. Hopefully totals can be pinned by tomorrow evening’s run.
What do you mean by the 10:1 ratios? I love learning on this blog. Care to elaborate?
Water expands when it freezes: In essence THE AVERAGE amount that 1 inch of rain produces is equal to 10 inches of snow. However, when it gets very cold, water expands more (fluffy snow) than it had a chance to expand when around freezing or warmer (wet snow). So, very cold air could increase the ratio of 1 inch of rain to well over 10 up to a rare 20 inches of snow. On the other hand, very borderline temps where the rain doesn’t have enough time to fully form ice crystals (wet snow), the ratio can be even lower than 10:1 and rarely about 5:1 or 1 inch of rain yields only 5 inches of very heavy wet snow!
On the average, twn inches of snow melts down to about one inch of water, but it varies from storm to storm. Snow that falls during really low air temps like we will experience is much fluffier(less dense & wet)than what would fall, at say, 30-33°. So basically, in the more powdery snow, you would get higher snow depth because the ratios would be higher.(ex: 25:1 would mean 25 inches of drier, fluffier snow that would melt down to an inch of liquid….)
Talking about remembering big snows,does anyone remember what year it was we got covered up in eastern ky I mean drifts like u had never seen in years we got a good one anyone remember??
I am so thankful for our workers that keep our electricity on last night at 3am ours went off by 6am the wonderful man had it restored so thankful we piled on the blankets lol!!! Stay warm everyone check on your neighbors and pets this week!!!
No updates or tweets about the models today?? Umm, I think that means nothing to see here, folks! Move along! 😀
Or he has life besides weather
New post is up.