Thursday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, folks. Our day started with many areas well below zero across the bluegrass state. As this brutally cold air mass pulls away, a light winter weather maker rolls in tonight and Friday. This is likely to cause travel issues to develop.

This system has been well advertised for several days now. A mix of snow and freezing rain will work in tonight and early Friday…

As stated a few days ago, the models will miss the boat on the temps, so take the under on the forecast numbers. Arctic air is low and dense and the models have a tough time seeing that. Also, the ground is frozen and road temperatures are below freezing. Even if your thermometer is above freezing, the cold ground may cause a layer of ice to form.

The forecast models are all similar in where the greatest threat for a light snowfall is…

Hi Res NAM

GFS

New GFS

Canadian

Slick travel conditions are a good bet later tonight into the first half of Friday. Here are your tracking tools…

Temps behind all this will take off this weekend. Highs by Monday should make a run at 60, but with a few showers and even thunderstorms coming into play. Another arctic front then rolls in here by the middle of next week as temps come crashing WAY down. This boundary may become active as it slows down to our southeast.

The GFS shows this possibility…

The earlier run of the New GFS showed the potential on a greater scale…

I have you covered on WKYT starting at 4pm and with another KWC update this evening. Make it a good one and take care.


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39 Responses to Thursday Afternoon Update

  1. Jimbo says:

    Looks like more rain and backside flurries.

  2. Formerly from KY says:

    Showing model runs a week out Are useless. Only that day of the storm will tell the truth.

  3. feederband says:

    Looks like Louisville MS and Jefferson County AL will get more snow than Louisville KY will again. Southeastern storm…….again

  4. Winterlover says:

    Same ole songs from same ole people. If I remember correctly last year January did lack of snow action also only that February ,March and even April provided the snow action. Will see how February and March plays out this year.

  5. Troy says:

    Every snow lover in KY who’s disappointed with this winters lack of snowfall should at least take comfort with the knowledge that they have certainly had more snow than my yard has had…still have not made it to the one inch mark as nearly every area around Bell and Whitley Co, is working on 3+ inches….even the Tennessee Valley just one mile away has had no less than 3″ of snow in almost all locations. All I can do is laugh…

  6. Jim B says:

    Well snowlovers, that word is appearing again…potential… I still don’t see a chance for a good snowfall for you guys this winter, but I’m happy to 60 degrees, of course it comes with rain..

  7. Jeff Hamlin says:

    I’m ready for 90s and hazy. 😉

  8. Mike S says:

    This setup is not your rain to back-end flurries, but the other way around.

  9. Jim B says:

    Pretty stinking cold the past couple of days, even for Nitwits

  10. Bjenks says:

    Looking at radar and wondering hoe does any of KY play into what is coming. The direction and strength of this looks to be 0-1 inch all the way to Indy. Moisture starved for sure. Or am I missing something.

    Also, backloaded winter to start next weeend through first couple weeks of March. Going to be a wild end to winter…

  11. nasdaq says:

    latest hrrr shows even se ky getting some front end snow, nws may extend that advisory se to include a couple more counties.

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