Good Sunday, everyone. It’s another flat out awesome day of weather across the Commonwealth, but changes are lurking for the week ahead. Those changes will bring about a very active setup as we watch a boundary hang around the region. Exactly where that boundary sets up will have a huge impact on our actual weather.

Our first system rolls in here on Monday with just a few showers possible. Temps may spike into the 60s again before any drops show up.

The front responsible for any shower action will get into the region then put the brakes on. A huge temperature gradient will show up from one side of the front to the other, with waves of low pressure rolling along the boundary. South of the boundary, spring like  readings will be noted and that will fuel heavy amounts of rain and even the potential for strong thunderstorms. North of the boundary, winter weather shows up.

The New version of the GFS continues to show the potential for strong storms and high water, with some winter weather to follow…

That would have another low behind it later next weekend. 7 day rainfall numbers are way up there…

The Canadian Model has a similar look and end result…

This whole pattern has a super active look to it as cold air reestablishes itself from late next week through the following week. Check out the 5 day means from the Euro Control…

The whole orientation of a ridge off the east coast and brutally cold air diving into the plains means this active storm track will continue. Excessive amounts of rain and snow show up with a look like that.

Updates later today. Have a good one and take care.