Increasing Flood Threat

Good afternoon, folks. Our morning ice and snow continues to lift to the north as temps rise and rain takes over. Unfortunately, the rain is only going to increase over the next few days, leading to the increased potential for flooding and flash flooding.

I’ve made no changes to my rainfall forecast…

This is a widespread heavy rain event across the entire state, which should be under a flood watch. There’s no reason to leave southeastern Kentucky out of the watch, especially considering the recent flooding and mudslides this area has been seeing…

River flooding is likely to become a big issue in the coming days. These rivers are full and can’t hold more much more water, but that’s exactly what’s on the way.

Current forecasts take the Ohio River into Minor to moderate flooding…

Ohio River at Cincinnati

Ohio River at McAlpine Upper

Ohio River at Owensboro

Ohio River at Shawneetown

Again, depending on the amount of rain we get, those numbers may go even higher.

This system will finally depart late Tuesday as a wraparound period of snow develops behind it…

The next systems then target the region late week into the weekend, but those have colder air to work with…

The European Model is also showing the storm track moving much farther south, bringing snow chances to our region and farther south…

The GFS Ensembles continue to lead the way with increasing snow chances the next few weeks…

I will have another update this evening. Until then, let’s track an increase in the rain from southwest to northeast…

Make it a good one and take care.


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14 Responses to Increasing Flood Threat

  1. Coffeelasy says:

    Thanks Chris. Rain rain go away, come again some other day. We can say it all we want but it looks like it’s here for awhile. Stay dry and warm all.

  2. Troy says:

    I LOVE RAIN! I LOVE RAIN! I LOVE RAIN! I LOVE RAIN!

    Well, it this point can’t hurt to try reverse psychology on mother nature….even an “anti-rain dance” couldn’t hurt.

  3. Jared from Letcher County says:

    Radar showing that band of moderate precip aimed right at SEKY and still no flood watch down here…

  4. Jared from Letcher County says:
  5. Prelude says:

    NWS Louisville
    NWS Louisville
    @NWSLouisville
    ·
    2h
    On December 31, 2018 Lexington, KY had received 100.42″ of rain over the 558-day period ending that day. That was the fastest Lexington had ever accumulated 100″ of rain (tied with the 558-day period ending November 9, 2018, with 100.02″

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