Flood Threat Continues Today

Good Tuesday, everybody. Rounds of heavy rain and some thunder are rolling across the state today, leading to one more day of flooding issues. This active pattern looks to continue for the foreseeable future, with much colder air joining the party once again.

Today is very active, so here’s a breakdown of how it plays out:

  • Heavy rain continues as a few thunderstorms try to get into the mix.
  • Flooding issues will likely develop in some areas. This consists of flooding of smaller creeks and streams and a few of the rivers.
  • The rain slows down from west to east this afternoon as a cold front slides through.
  • Winds are going to crank and may reach 40mph at times through tonight. That’s when a colder wind settles in, dropping temps into the 20s.
  • A few wraparound snow showers and flurries may be noted across central and eastern Kentucky this evening into very early Wednesday.

I will have all your tracking toys of the day in just a bit.

Another cold front rolls our way later this week, setting the stage for a farther south storm track to follow. The models are bringing a winter weather threat to the region Friday into Saturday.

GFS

New GFS

The European Model is also picking up on the potential…

That active southern storm track rolls on through next week…

The GFS Ensembles have been showing this scenario for a while now and they continue to do so…

Once again, we shall see.

I will have updates later today. Until then, here is everything you need to track today’s flood threat…

Enjoy the day and take care.


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25 Responses to Flood Threat Continues Today

  1. Terry says:

    I see a ton of green for southern KY which looks like the same people in northern KY may add to their snow toptals while leaving the same people out down here…nothing more to say but SIGH for the weekend and DOUBLE SIGH for next week and hopefully pattern changes by March.

    • Bobt says:

      Yep, even the “colder” trend is still showing significantly more rain than snow for the area of Kentucky that is still in a two decades drought of a decent snow storm.. I can’t wait until this miserable pattern of four and five days a week of rain leaves the state. Might be better off just to move away from the misery. Really depressing weather pattern for the last three or four years. Where is the sunshine?

      • Terry says:

        That’s it! You are the anchor holding us back. LOL

        If you move away, I guarantee we get a 3 foot blizzard….hehe. Just kidding:)

  2. Terry says:

    Dang! Louisville has been getting slammed overnight! I am surprised that there are no flood warnings yet. I have only picked up .30 since midnight with my event total since Sunday now at 1.00…I spy some heavy stuff not far away though! How much has Louisville had since Sunday?

    Areawide, I can hear the earth worms crying out and if they could speak, “Uncle….UNCLE, UNCLE, UNCLE”!
    LOL

    • Feederband says:

      Louisville is under a Flood Advisory. Rain didn’t come down as hard as I expected rather a slow steady rain. Thankfully no heavy downpours. Roads are closing now due to Ohio river flooding.

      • Terry says:

        We look to only have about 6 or so hours of rain duration down here a little later; however, it appears it will be much heavier closer to the TN/VA boarder here for the rainfall rate per hour! We may have more of a quick flash flood rather than a regular flood event this evening, all be it probably minor flooding.

  3. Schroeder says:

    The current weather pattern can be simply explained by the continuous cool, moist flow off the tropical region of the Pacific Ocean reacting with the very warm Gulf of Mexico. Some meteorologist gave this phenomenon a label ” THE PINEAPPLE EXPRESS ” Last year we had a much different weather pattern ( La Nina ) Here in central Kentucky we were snowbound for a week in late February. March and April had below normal temperatures with some winter weather events and the summer turned out as you all know very warm, wet and humid. After looking at various weather maps ( not weather models ) the current weather pattern is not showing any signs or signals of CHANGING to this very date. I know this is a very depressing comment and I’m just reporting my opinion.

    • Cameron Fry says:

      Funny how you say it’s simple but esteemed processionals admit this is a complex pattern and models are going to struggle more than usual.

      • SpaceGhost says:

        Don’t question the Schroeder! The weather-control illuminati will be having their way with you in the back of a white panel van for your apostasy!

        • Bobt says:

          La Nina “Pineapple Express” or whatever else you want to call it. I just call it RAIN. Personally don’t see much pattern change at all from this year or last. All we have had in my backyard is rain.

      • Schroeder says:

        IMO weather models are NEVER correct. Maybe in the far distance future ? What we have now is very dominate and yet the models still showing Kentucky getting one snowstorm after the other and NOAA keeps ” kicking the formation of a weak El Nino down the road ” 65% chance this Spring now. Now the outlook by NOAA ( based on weather models ) is for a cooler and drier Spring and Summer for Kentucky. Hope that’s right. But as always I take that with a huge grain of salt.

      • Schroeder says:

        What professionals ?

    • Schroeder says:

      Storm rain total for Taylor county: 2.45 inches. Tomorrow is forecast to be sunny and cooler before next rain event moves in.

    • Mike says:

      “Snowbound” in central KY last year? Not in my part of Richmond / Central KY. We had very little snow. I don’t think I even shoveled my drive once.

      • Schroeder says:

        Mike, last year at the end of February in northern Taylor county we had a snowstorm that accumulated to about ten inches and it was cold enough for a week to keep the snow on the ground

  4. BubbaG says:

    Trend buster or Meh!

  5. Jimmie says:

    This winter, for our region, the old GFS has consistently outperformed the new GFS especially at 5-7 days out. Perhaps there’s a region of the country where the new GFS is out-performing the old GFS this winter but it’s struggling with our region. So with that in mind, it’s probably better to disregard new GFS’ maps for this weekend’s storm system.

  6. Mike S says:

    Had a break in the rain, so I went and measured. The rain started at 1:30 p.m. Sunday afternoon. My measurement through 9:00 this morning has been 2.74″ just southwest of Louisville MAI airport.

  7. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. Well I am wondering if everyone else on here is as water logged as I am? Stupid question. But what about this weekend thing? IS there a chance for freezing precip? I mean a decent chance? We are planning to go see my niece and meet my Great niece in Knoxville, and I don’t want that messed up. Ah well, we have to get to that first, and today is only Tuesday. Have a good rest of your morning everyone.

  8. Joe T says:

    Trending colder = 35 and rain instead of 50 and rain.

  9. WestKyGuy says:

    My Goodness it is STILL pouring down here in Western Ky.
    I sure hope this isn’t the “new” normal for our weather.
    This got old really fast!!
    Almost another inch since midnight.
    Jeez.

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