Active Pattern Continues

Good Saturday, folks. Our very early morning light snow maker is rolling out of southeastern Kentucky, leaving us with a better weather day. That’s not going to last long as another system rolls in behind it tonight and Sunday as our active weather pattern rolls on.

I will get your early morning southern snow tracking tools in a bit. First, let’s focus on where we go after this morning.

Skies become partly sunny today as temps hit the low and middle 40s for many. Let’s soak that up because some ugly moves in tonight and Sunday. This is another weak system, but it will bring a touch of a mix initially later tonight, with rain taking over through the day.

The Euro has some freezing rain early on…

It won’t rain all day Sunday and some may even see the sun from time to time. Temps may reach the 50s in the southeast with colder numbers in the north and west.

Colder air then wraps back in with a few flurries or a light snow shower by early Monday…

The pattern next week is amped up and is going to throw systems at us every few days. As of now, the majority of these systems look to be rain makers and that could wind up causing some serious issues.



Next weekend

The next 10 days worth of rain from the European Model is very troubling…

NOTHING good can come from that. Ugh

I will have another update later today. Until then, Here are your tracking tools to start the day…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio

I-75 @ Newtown Pike

-75/I-64 Southern Split Lexington


I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

I-64 MP 97
I-64 WB @ MP 97

Mountain Parkway near Slade


Pine Mountain



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Bowling Green


Have a good one and take care.

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53 Responses to Active Pattern Continues

  1. Terry says:

    Precipitation is moving out and still all rain in Harlan LOL! The so called coldest, snowiest county in the state fails again….not that I was expecting the cold to reach me. About 10 inches if rain next week likely want miss though!

  2. Ray says:

    Getting in on the snow action this morning in North Corbin Laurel County. It isn’t much, but it started off with very heavy and giant wet snow flakes. We may or may not see any accumulations, but it’s nice to see snow for a change. I’ll take whatever we can get, but I’m pretty concerned about the rain totals for next week. I’ve got a feeling that we’re going to be in this rain train for much longer than we expect

  3. April says:

    Jackson County here and we have 3-4 inches maybe up to 5 inches of heavy snow it’s hanging on the power lines and trees and our electric flashed once already. This is the first big snow this season I think.

  4. Schroeder says:

    28 degrees with two inches of snow on the ground here in the hills of Taylor County.

  5. Chris Mercer says:

    The meteorological winter season looks like it is going to end just has it has been for most of the season–mild and rainy.

    Just some stats for Lexington through February 15th.

    February average temp: 44.5. Would be the 4th warmest February on record if the month ended today.

    Winter average temp: 38.8. Would tie 2001-2002 for the 11th warmest winter on record if the month ended today.

    Winter precipitation: 13.93 inches. The Top 10 list starts at 16.62 inches. Looks like that is makeable.

    • Bobt says:

      That’s with a “back loaded” winter. Regardless of what happens in March this might be the mildest winter that I can remember. We didn’t even get those infamous “week” out winter storm missed.

    • BubbaG says:

      That includes rain, I suppose. Snow is nowhere near that. Not even 50% unless border areas. Waited total is half that for snow and that is being kind 😉

  6. Formerly from KY says:

    Looks like the groundhog was right this time around.

  7. Andy Rose says:

    Not a single flake of snow at my location I did have almost a third of an inch of rain. It seems the NWS was wise in their decision not to issue an unwarranted WWA last night.

  8. Ryan says:

    We have close to 3 in. I’m in southern Breathitt Co.
    Very wet slushy snow. Powerlines and limbs are sagging. Road conditions on non treated roads aren’t good. Also some reports of trees down in roadway due to soggy ground and weight of snow I guess.

  9. Farmer 43 says:

    It’s funny a few days ago on the blog cb said the pattern was trending colder and colder for more more winter precipitation that’s all I can say winter 18 19 a one for record books all right the models made a comedy show out of some of the sharpest people

  10. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. We have about a half inch to an inch of snow here this morning. Not much but still not rain. I am really concerned about the possible rain totals for next week too. That is certainly something we’ve had our share of! Here’s hoping it is wrong, although when it comes to rain it rarely is! 😉 Have a great Saturday everyone.

  11. Jim B says:

    It’s the backloaded tropical rain season as was predicted hahaha

  12. BubbaG says:

    Imagine how CB feels. The word Snow in Kentucky replaced with, Active, Action, Polar Vortex, Precipitation, Regional, Wild, Wintry and of course our staple all year- Rain.

    CB is probably changing from a meteorologist to a “meh”teorolgist.

    Pending a trend buster, this could be the wimpiest winter yet.

  13. Jared from Letcher County says:

    About 0.01 of an inch of snow here this morning. Doesn’t even look like Pine Mountain got more than a dusting. Very concerned with the rainfall totals next week, that quick one inch of rain we got early last week caused some serious flash flooding problems here.

  14. Winterlover says:

    Guys nobody s perfect by anymeans. Don’t be poking at Chris work that he works his tail off for the public. Thank Chris I appreciate what you do.i got about 2 inches of snow here in WKY and this is not the wimpy winter that some people has mention. I have seen it whole lot milder winters than this especially back in the late 80s

    • Schroeder says:

      The late 1980’s were the DROUGHT years. We had endless heat and the winters were very mild and dry.

      • Schroeder says:

        I feel for the snow lovers who did not get the snow that was forecast for their areas last night. Don’t give up hope yet as I’ve seen on the satellite maps some small changes in the overall weather pattern towards colder for the eastern half of the country as the large upper level high in the southern part of the Gulf of Mexico has been moving slowly toward the west allowing colder Polar air to move further south into the Ohio Valley and into the Tennessee Valley. We shall see.

        • MarkLex says:

          Can’t quite give up until March is over. I remember March 13/14 1993, the superstorm in western NC. That entire winter was nothing…..not a flake of snow or not horribly cold either……until the superstorm, and followed by bitter cold. Yes it took a while for it all to go away, even that late in the game.. But yea, this winter has been horrid with a capital H

    • BubbaG says:

      Probably the realization that all winter we have been a week or two out, and now winter is about done. Not many weeks to be out for the cold and snow now.

      I think a lot of folks latched on to the 24″ to 30″ snow forecast for the winter and we are nowhere near it with not much runway left. The epic December miss by the models seem top have been a harbinger. Instead of snowmen, mehman.

      Again, at least we have not got a big ice storm 🙂 I do believe this is the longest stretch we’ve gone without one. We have had at least one big ice event at least every ten years. Since the 70’s anyway.

  15. Cold-Rain says:

    GFS is farther south with the heavy precipitation..As usual we wait on the pathetic models to see if we need an ark..Worst year ever for models.

  16. Brian from Rockcastle says:

    In the Maretburg area of rockcastle co., I had 4″ of snow this morning on my truck. I was surprised because we are usually on the low end of Chris B. Forecast.

  17. Terry says:

    We are in TROUBLE in SE KY! Area wide, we picked up between a 1/3 to 1/2 inch of rain with this first, weak system. Now, this next system for Sunday looks to focus mostly on SE KY and could near an inch more of rain by said and done. Then, a widespread 1 to 3 inches of rain is looking more likely for Tuesday and Wednesday system…..WE WANT EVEN TALK ABOUT LATER ON.

  18. Terry says:

    We are in TROUBLE in SE KY! Area wide, we picked up between a 1/3 to 1/2 inch of rain with this first, weak system. Now, this next system for Sunday looks to focus mostly on SE KY and could near an inch more of rain by said and done. Then, a widespread 1 to 3 inches of rain is looking more likely for Tuesday/Wednesday system. More to follow. I am thinking major flood event!

  19. feederband says:

    NWS Louisville reports 5 inches in W Liberty and 4 inches in Marion County. Lucky downbursts.

    • Terry says:

      Not a flake in Harlan. I live in the supposedly coldest/snowiest county in the state. If you dont live up high, which most don’t, it is not nearly as cold and snowy as climatology tries to state for my area. In fact, my minimum lows in winter are often warmer than even western KY. I think my climate has long been misrepresented by poor models that only depict topography for temps. A lot of times in the summer, maps show SE KY as only upper 80s (leave us out of the heat advisories) for highs but places like Harlan and Middlesboro will be way in the 90s with heat indices over 100. We have a long ways to go in the world of weather!

  20. jackson says:

    It’s amazing we have not seen widespread flooding in KY and neighboring states but if this pattern doesn’t break soon somebody is gonna get hit hard with flooding eventually. Here is to hoping those rain totals over the next 10 days don’t actually happen.

  21. Dr Wx says:

    Nothing here as usual at the Fayette Co. Foam dome. So far this winter ,schools have been cancelled 3 days so far, and not 1 day for snow and ice.( 2 days for wind chill and 1 for illnesses). As a lifelong resident I dont remember a single year that schools were not cancelled for at least 1 day for snow/ice. The records continue.

    • BubbaG says:

      Again, at least no big ice 🙂 Longest stretch in at least 50 years without an ice storm. I call that a WIN! 🙂

    • Rachel says:

      To be fair the day schools closed for wind chill would have ended up being snow days in Fayette… That was the one and only time it actually did snow, and no one even predicted it.

      • Dr Wx says:

        I understand that it will be made up as “inclement weather” days. I was stating that it wasnt a”Snow event” that actually closed the schools, but wind chill, and illness.

  22. I am going to start an Airboat or Fanboat sells business.

  23. slitter4 says:

    After looking at the comments the past 24 hours or so, how about leave the forecasting to Chris.

  24. crystal In pikeville says:

    My comments keep getting lost.

  25. Formerly from KY says:

    For the first in years NW Pennsylvania is below snow fall totals.

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