A Lot Of Rain Ahead

Good afternoon, folks. Our southern snow maker is long gone, leaving us with a nice afternoon across the entire region. This nice stuff is about to give way to another soggy setup that may cause additional flooding issues in the week ahead.

Before we get to that,  our swath of wet snow blanketed many areas across the southern half of the state early this morning. Snow totals ranged from a few inches with some hot spots of 4″-5″. Check out some of the tweets I got…

Most of the heaviest snow fell where there was not a Winter Weather Advisory in southeastern Kentucky. The National Weather Service in Jackson refused to issue one, even though the data was clear this would drop the most snow in their area.

I’m going to make a general statement targeted at no one… I’ve blown a lot of forecasts and will miss many more in the future, but I’ve never blown one simply because I wanted to be different than another forecast from someone I don’t like. There seems to be a lot of that in the entire weather world right now. The weather could care less about who we like or don’t like. 🙂

Moving along to a soggy setup. We will have another system moving in here tonight and Sunday, bringing the potential for a light mix to start. Heavy rain is possible in the southeast through the day, then colder air could bring a few flakes in for Monday.

From there, several systems target the region over the next week and change. The next one may begin with a touch of frozen stuff on Tuesday, but it’s another big rain maker. Two more systems then follow that up later in the week into next weekend. Rainfall totals will be way up there and will likely cause additional flooding issues…

New GFS

European

Significant flooding issues are possible over the next week to 10 days.

February continues to mimic last February and that’s not a good thing since it was the wettest February on record and led to significant flooding issues. The end of the last February started to change the pattern back to winter and that took is into a March that featured historic snowfall. Could the same happen this year?

The models are certainly pointing toward a similar pattern flip as February closes and March begins. Watch the cold finally get out of the west and roll east on the European…

The new version of the GFS goes all out with the cold from late month into early March…

No thanks! #teamspring

Have a great rest of your day and take care.


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16 Responses to A Lot Of Rain Ahead

  1. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. Just tired of the rain train…. need to get an ark ready.

    • Ray Roark says:

      Coffeelady, I absolutely agree with you. I’m tired of this rain train myself. We’ve been in it for almost 2 years, and our yard is so waterlogged, I’m surprised we haven’t had any mudslides slides yet

  2. Jeff Hamlin says:

    I got just a dusting in my area of Richmond but saw plenty of beautiful snowscapes on my drive to work this morning in Mt. Vernon, which were all gone by afternoon. I’m good with that. 🙂

  3. Matt says:

    Here’s hoping those maps don’t come to fruition.

  4. I am getting to the point where I do not care if its warm or cold, I just want to see plenty of sunshine.

  5. Jared from Letcher County says:

    Today marks the four year anniversary of February 2015 snowstorm which dropped a little over 15 inches of snow at my house:
    https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonKY/photos/a.137582556316348/2480355188705728/?type=3&theater
    Another storm a few days later caused widespread ice jams/flooding and over a foot of wet snow in Harlan/Bell counties.

  6. Andy Rose says:

    I didn’t see any snow till I went north and got into Laurel county

  7. Kim says:

    So glad to get more rain. Just gave my dog a bath today and our yard is a pig pen when it rains

  8. Mike says:

    Well, woke up to 1/2 inch this morning – gone by noon. Perhaps 3 and 1/2 inches total for the season…

    From reports I heard it seems just south and east of us was the sweet spot – Jackson, Rockcastle, Lee and Breathitt counties seemed to score. I wonder about Estill, Owsley and Wolfe? How did they end up?

  9. Jared from Letcher County says:

    Everyone in southern Kentucky needs to be prepared for some serious flooding next week:
    https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonKY/photos/a.137582556316348/2481272061947374/?type=3&theater

    • Troy says:

      In the spirit of not being greedy, I’d like to spread the wealth…here’s to every locale in the state getting exactly what those of us in the SE will get!!! It’s only fair after all! lol

      • Terry says:

        Looks like we get the most though Troy! To make it worse, NWS only shows that precipitation forecast through Saturday morning and we should have a weekend storm unaccounted for:0….TRIPLE YIKES!!!!

        BTW, 0 flakes in Harlan, lol! The so called coldest/snowiest county was about the warmest again….never reached below 36 here.

  10. Russell says:

    A quick departure from my RIP winter to say thanks Chris for all you do here bringing us all the info and tools to keep us informed and up to date. There are those of us yearning for a good solid snow and it’s just not happening thus we vent here in frustration but it’s not towards the friendly weather dude 😉

  11. jusin says:

    oh great, more rain. flooding looks like a threat. im so sick of this rainy pattern I could cry……again. but that would add to the already soggy situation. blah.

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