Good afternoon, everyone. A few flurries and snow showers continue to work across the state as cold winds blow from the northwest. This is kicking off another very active weather week, complete with snow, flooding rains and the potential for severe storms by the weekend.

Let’s begin with the Monday taste of winter. These hit and run snow showers can put down brief coatings in a few spots…

From there, it’s full steam ahead toward an impressive system moving in later Tuesday and Wednesday. This one may start as snow and a mix, but the main threat comes from the potential for too much rain. Here’s my current area of concern…

That matches up well with the placement from the GFS…

The NAM is farther west and northwest with the axis of heaviest rain…

General flooding and river flooding will be possible in the coming days.

As mentioned, this system may start out as some snow or a mix later Tuesday into Tuesday evening. The NAM Fam continues to be the most aggressive with the winter weather potential.

Hi Res Snowfall

Hi Res Freezing Rain

NAM Snowfall

NAM Freezing Rain

The GFS isn’t spitting out much freezing rain, but it is now showing a touch of snow…

So is the new version of the GFS…

As I mentioned earlier, this is likely to be a situation where we have a Winter Weather Advisory and a Flood Watch out at the same time for some areas.

I’m also focusing on the weekend setup that has the potential to produce more flooding rains and even some severe thunderstorms…

That has a severe weather look for much of this region.

Busy enough for ya? 🙂

I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4pm and then have another KWC update this evening. Make it a good one and take care.