Flood Threat Continues

Good Wednesday, everyone. We have rounds of heavy rain rolling across the region today, bringing the potential for high water. This is the first of two systems set to bring a lot of rain our way through the coming weekend. That second system may even bring a few strong or severe storms.

As our Wednesday wears on, the rain slows down from west to east, with the last rains getting out of eastern Kentucky later tonight. Here are your tracking tools for the start of the day…

The greatest flood threat this morning is in the west, then the focus shifts farther east as the day goes on.

We will catch a break from the rain on Thursday, but the next system throws showers and some thunderstorms our way by Friday. This is going to be a very powerful storm system developing in the plains and rolling toward the western Great Lakes this weekend. It will likely produce a blizzard behind it and severe weather and flooding ahead of it…

 Strong to severe storms and high winds will be possible across Kentucky and surrounding areas. This setup can also produce significant rainfall, leading to additional flooding issues developing. The Euro continues to spit out some big time totals from Friday through Sunday…

In order to get out of this pattern, we need the flip this pattern around and that’s exactly what looks to happen next week into early March. This is a vey cold signal for much of the country…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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27 Responses to Flood Threat Continues

  1. Mike S says:

    I have 34 degrees with lightning and moderate rainfall. Here in Jefferson County, a general 0.75″ to 1.00″ rainfall so far. But a slug of heavy rain looks to move in over the next few hours, producing at least
    another 1 to 1.5″ additional rainfall.

    • feederband says:

      It was thundering this morning. Between that and UPS, I was up early. Did you hear a civil defense siren around 3:30? It wasn’t county wide but I heard one off in the distance. Thought it could’ve been an incident in Rubbertown.

  2. Ray Roark says:

    No disrespect to Chris at all, but I honestly don’t see us getting out of the rain train any time soon, I wish we would, but I just don’t see it happening. March will possibly bring even more rain. Our winter has been the wimpiest I’ve ever seen. We’d be lucky to see flakes in March and April, but over all, I’m ready for spring

  3. Andy Rose says:

    Thankfully I only recieved about half an inch of rain from the 1st “wave”

  4. Bobt says:

    2019 started out as bad as 2018. Pretty much on pace for raining every other day again with 26 of the first 51 days being wet. Got to love it. Hopefully March comes in like a lion and we move on to nice spring weather.

    • Terry says:

      Actually, I think we are ahead of 2018 for rainfall and even less for snow to-date, well at least far SE KY!

      Terrible winter doesn’t describe how bad things are, but I agree with you that a cold/stormy early March would be great if we could bring in early spring warm going into April!

    • TennMark says:

      Got back last night from Dallas where yesterday late morning had mid 30s with cold miserable rain (Ft Worth had a brief rain/sleet mix). I missed the sunny 70s by a couple of days 🙁 .

      As a warm weather person, I imagined winter business trips to the likes of Miami upon first entering the work force. What was I thinking?! My experiences have been more like being in Philadelphia during an ice storm and Minneapolis/St Paul when it’s single digits. As it is, with some exceptions work often leaves little time to see the sights and (when applicable) soak in the sun.

      Incidentally, Dallas/Ft Worth has an all time record low of minus 8 F, an impressive mark for a southern location. Their biggest single snow storm was 12.5 inches (Feb 11 2010) although their average yearly snow is only about an inch and a half.

  5. TennMark says:

    NWS Louisville has released their spring Skywarn storm spotter c-l-a-s-s schedule.

  6. Ray Roark says:

    We’re getting ready to get clobbered in North Corbin Laurel County with a line of thunderstorms. The sky is looking very dark and the clouds are moving quickly

  7. Schroeder says:

    Very heavy rains at the present here in the central Kentucky hills. I’m going to wait until this first event is over before posting the rainfall totals for my county of Taylor. Thanks Chris for posting a weather model that shows a colder first eight days of March. What is missing is the precipitation weather model for the said time period ? Hopefully, it will pan out as a cold and dry period, but I’m still holding out for a couple of major snowstorms in either March or early April. I’ve seen this current weather pattern before but not for two years running !

  8. Cameron Fry says:

    With respect to that last graphic, am I the only one that thinks that’s not a pattern flip look? Looks like what we’ve seen the last several weeks except the cooler anomalies are a tad further east. Not much to make a difference for those in the Tennessee Valley, though western Ohio Valley residents may do well. If you live further to the east, we desperately need west coast ridging to show up between now and mid-March or our Hail Mary attempt will be end up a sack.

    • Cameron Fry says:

      Correction: My phone didn’t activate the animation. I see what CB is talking about. My bad!

    • Mike S says:

      I’m saving that graphic. The numbers are in Celsius and divided in 6-hour increments over the next week and change. These same ensembles from the GFS do not align with the teleconnections (from the GFS Ensembles also) that still highlights a neutral to slightly positive NAO. That tells me the coldest air does not stay locked in. We may average out below normal during that period, but 6-10 degrees Fahrenheit? I’ll take the under. Still, it is a pattern change.

  9. Lotsasnow says:

    I ended up with nearly 10 inchs of snow ovee night had thunder and lightning as well.

  10. Kim says:

    At the point at least a Blizzard would be something different.

  11. Coffeelasy says:

    Thanks Chris. Water water everywhere, any nary a drop to drink. I’ve heard that a lot. Wonder how much water it would take to interfere with water systems… hmmm. Also noted that Wolf Creekhas has all 8 spillways open. It’s either open them or it could go over the dam I guess. Please stay safe and have a good day.

  12. BubbaG says:

    Yep, moisture here at above 32 degrees, and then out of here like a bat out of heck when below 32. A summary of the winter.

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