Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, everyone. We continue to see rounds of rain slowly winding down across the eastern half of the state, with a brief drying trend coming in behind this. From there, it’s full steam ahead toward an even stronger system moving in for the weekend.

Several counties are still under flood warnings. Here’s a look at the warnings and the current radar…

Dry air moves in tonight into Thursday, but the next round of rain arrives in the south and southeast Thursday night into Friday morning. That will bring a renewed threat for high water in those areas.  That rain then spreads to the north as our potent plains storm system comes together. Rounds of thunderstorms then kick in Friday night into Saturday as warm air surges in. That warm and unstable air will then crank up strong to severe thunderstorms later Saturday into Saturday night.

All of this action is likely to drop a lot of rain on the region. The numbers from the Euro continue to be scary…

That would be more than enough to produce widespread, significant flooding issues.

This is also going to be a super windy storm that can cause wind damage, even without thunderstorms. Trees will be especially susceptible since the ground is so wet.

We need to change this pattern around and we need to do it in a hurry. Luckily, there is a strong indication for that to happen next week and into March. It’s a much colder look taking hold next week into the following weekend. The Euro has arctic air invading…

Wind chills

The model even tries to throw down some snow to start March…

This cold look ahs been advertised by the Ensembles for quite a while now and they continue to look cold…


Have a great evening and take care.

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13 Responses to Wednesday Evening Update

  1. Crystal In Pikeville says:

    Chris please don’t tell me that’s that more to come or is it total by Sunday??? We can’t handle much more!!! Does anyone know if we have 2 inches coming or 4 ?? Thank you

    • Terry says:

      Just one model run, but that current EURO has you over 4 inches more of rain. BE CAREFUL!

      Maybe, less ends up happening than what the models show. NAM and GFS are way up there too! Scary stuff.

      • Crystal In Pikeville says:

        Thank you yes it’s very scary! The big sandy has overflowed it’s banks.I am just hoping and praying. Thanks everyone and thanks to Chris.

        • jackson says:

          I was in Pikeville the last 2 days and was surprised this evening how much the river has risen since yesterday morning…if those rainfall totals play out that is scary.

  2. Terry says:

    Far SE KY….Ran by the FEET and not an inch of snow for January and February combined…MEH.

    Sorry, but the oscillations just dont match the cold making much of a long-term stay for areas east of the Mississippi. Even by that EURO RUN, the cold barely is reaching SE KY. #Donewithmodelsthiswinter!

  3. Rodger Dodger says:

    Rodger would be happy with one nice 5″ snow. He’s been saying that all winter … and it’s almost spring! Rodger in Dodger

  4. Jared from Letcher County says:

    I received about the same amount of rain here today as on Sunday but the river rose almost as twice as high as the last crest. If we get four inches of rain we are going to see some major flooding down here.

  5. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. I am not sure how much rain we’ve had here in Somerset but I know it’s been a boatload! And now looking st what some of the models think may fall this weekend, it is terrifying for a lot of folks. I am not right in a creek or next to the river but I am within a mile of both and know people who are close. I worry for them and for first responders. Please be aware of what is going on around you, especially if you are near any kind of waterway. Stay safe weather friends.

  6. Troy says:

    Don’t let that Euro map fool you…. The trend wont fail…a short lived couple days (4 tops) of “seasonal” cold (nothing worse) followed by a quick warm up just in time for moisture to arrive in the form of rain, This epic winter failure is nearly over. Here’s to hoping for a pleasant, dry Spring!!!

  7. Bobt says:

    You can see the cold leaving town pretty quick with that. Just like the rest of winter, no staying power. Look for it not to get as cold as advertised too. Remember the “winter” is coming back in December? Now it’s late February and the models still say it is coming. We have had only four or five really cold days all winter. Team Spring.. It’s a coming.

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