Good Thursday, folks. We are enjoying a rare mainly dry day across the Commonwealth, but that’s going to change quickly as more rain rolls in. It’s all coming from a potent storm system that will bring more flooding rains our way and may even spawn a few strong to severe storms this weekend.

Skies will feature a mix of sun and clouds today with temps in the 40s north and 50s south. Clouds will thicken this afternoon as a band of rain gets ready to return this evening. That’s mainly impacting the southern half of the state into early Friday. This may put down a half to one inch of rain in a few spots, causing additional high water concerns.

As our plains storm system cranks up late Friday into Saturday, mild winds will surge into the region from the south. This will cause widespread rain and thunderstorms to develop Friday night and early Saturday. As the front moves through Saturday evening, strong to severe storms are even possible.

Obviously, the flood threat is very high with this system. Here’s an early look at how much rain may fall through Sunday morning…

That would be more than enough to cause flooding, with the potential for significant flood issues to develop.

I mentioned the potential for severe storms to develop and that’s a real possibility later Saturday. Here’s the current Saturday Severe Weather Outlook…

The Euro is showing high wind streaks that appear to be coming from severe storms…

Much colder air takes control of the pattern next week. The pattern is favorable for a winter weather event in the first week of March and that continues to show up on some of the models…

Arctic air comes in behind that…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Until then, here are your tracking tools…

Make it a great day and take care.