Good Monday, folks. Our severe threat on Sunday wimped out as the atmosphere could never recover after morning rain and thunder. Today is a brand new day and we are focusing on strong storms and heavy rains across the south and southeast. This continues to be part of the larger picture that remains very stormy.

As mentioned, showers and storms will be more common across the southern and southeastern parts of the state. This is where the models are really hitting at some hefty rain totals through tonight…

Strong storms will be possible, with the possibility of some high water issues developing. Farther north and west across Kentucky, the action will be much more scattered. Here are your tracking tools for the day…

 

Tuesday and Wednesday look to be much better weather days as temps stay on the mild side. The next system will bring another big boomer threat in here late Thursday into Thursday night…

That front looks to stall on top of the region into the start of the upcoming weekend. That allows for low pressure to develop along it and move into our part of the world. This could be a big slow-moving system loaded with heavy rain and thunderstorms…

That could bring another high water and strong storm potential to Kentucky and surrounding states. This setup has been hinted at by the Ensembles for a while now, and the operational models are getting into the act. Recent runs of the GFS have been really spitting out some big rain numbers for the next 2 weeks…

The more things change, the more they stay the same.

Have a great Monday and take care.