Warm Temps Before Storms Return

Good Monday, everyone. Here’s hoping you had a great Easter Weekend! Temps are on the rise over the next few days, but thunderstorm chances aren’t too far away. Those chances look to increase for the middle and end of the week.

In the near-term, skies are mostly sunny today as thermometers warm into the 70s.

Tuesday looks similar, but there is a small chance for a late day shower or thunderstorm going up. This is just ahead of a weak cold front dropping in from the northwest…

That front will combine with a slow-moving low to our south, to give us scattered showers and thunderstorms from Wednesday through Friday…

It’s interesting to note the GFS Ensembles and European Ensembles are both showing drier than normal conditions around here for the next 2 weeks…

GFS Ensembles

European Ensembles

I will believe that when I see it, but it’s one of the very few times in the past several years we have seen a drier than normal pattern on the models. You will also notice the much above normal rain in Texas and Oklahoma. The wetter those areas get, the more that’s likely to temper any summer heat that can form.

Have a great Monday and take care.


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8 Responses to Warm Temps Before Storms Return

  1. BH says:

    Not so hot this summer? I’ll take it if it works out that way.

  2. Dave says:

    As always, the lush green plants will prevent hot weather. Mild falllike temps all year til snow!

  3. Schroeder says:

    Thanks Chris, I will have to disagree with the Ohio Valley having a cooler Summer based on clouds and rain events in the southwest ( Texas) as you mentioned in your blog this morning. Why would that particular situation give the Ohio Valley a cooler Summer ? Back in the Summer of 1991 the global temperature cooled significantly for almost two years due to the eruption of Mount Pinatubo. We had the latest frost I ever seen on the night of June sixteen, 1991 which damage the corn and soybean crops in Indiana. I bet we will have our usual Hazy, Hot, and Humid Summer weather and I would be surprised if we have a wet Summer as we had last year.

    • Virgil E. says:

      Typically our flow of air whether its due to the winds from the west or due to Bermuda Highs off our Eastern Coast, all pull the air temps from the west and south west. If those temps are cooler than normal, then it stands to reason that our temps would be cooler than normal, especially if we have a wet ground that resulted in lush green vegetation over the spring, Which so far is proving to be true.

  4. Schroeder says:

    In the summer of 1983 we had a scorcher of a summer with many days of hundred degree heat and it was caused by a stationary large high pressure over the central plains. The wind around this high brought heat from the desert southwest into the Ohio Valley. That was a year of heavy and expensive irrigation in my Nursery in southwest Indiana. Glad I am retired from that stress.

  5. Schroeder says:

    WOW ! Just went down to get the mail and I must comment that the Spring weather couldn’t get any better than it is now. Lets all put this blue sky and low dew points in the forties on hold.

  6. Winterlover says:

    I hope the models are true when comes drier than normal for two weeks. When was the last time when it didn’t rain for a whole week. Something that we need.

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